this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2025
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[–] Commiejones@lemmygrad.ml 14 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Anyone else just hovering waiting for the fascists to break the cease fire? My anxiety won't level off even close to where it was 2 weeks ago. Its like I know the anti climax we are at isn't the end.

[–] burlemarx@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Yup, I open this megathread every day expecting a surprise, but relieved when there isn't.

[–] KrasnaiaZvezda@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 1 day ago

They have already broken it but so far it was "small enough" that Iran didn't retaliate.

In a better world Iran would get a massive emergency delivery of AA systems and would take any small incursion by drones to pummel the colonists back to the stone age, specially around Gaza. But I'm not expecting the resumement of hostilities to go so well.

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 20 points 2 days ago (2 children)

If anyone wants to know which countries are the US puppets from the middle east, they just need to look at this picture:

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 2 days ago (1 children)
[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 2 days ago

"The Abrahamic Deal, actually."

[–] ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml 6 points 2 days ago (2 children)

The issue is I do not have a memorization of face to nation for leadership in that area... also is it me or does one of them look like a drawn cartoon

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 6 points 2 days ago (1 children)

bottom left corner says it's ai generated.

Take a look at the website, it's fucking insane. It would be considered ambitious even for the Nazis.

https://abrahamshield.org/en/plan

[–] ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Wha... I cannot belive any nation that is not Israel decided to sign onto this... it is so blatant

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Doesn't appear anywhere they did, either. The wording is very shifty, it seems more like they are just being co-opted. The poster is AI generated, likely without consent. This reads like a zionazi wishlist + "I have a black friend".

It's also a confessional for breaking international law and future war crimes.

[–] ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml 2 points 1 day ago

May we be lucky enough that they get tried

[–] surjomukhi@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

It says AI generated at the bottom left. Probably that's why it looks a little cartoony

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 2 days ago

CIA demonstrating some self-awareness here

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 15 points 2 days ago

— 🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: In an Israeli strike on Astane-ye-Ashrafiyeh two days ago, a nuclear scientist, Dr. Sadighi, was martyred alongside 12 of his family members

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 12 points 2 days ago

—❗️🇮🇱/🇸🇾/🇸🇦 BREAKING: 'New countries will soon join the Abraham Accords, and it will be made official in a major announcement', according to U.S. Envoy Steve Witkoff

Sources point towards the Syrian regime of Ahmad Al-Sharaa (Al-Jolani) being the most likely candidate, alongside Saudi Arabia.

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 16 points 2 days ago (3 children)

Simplicius has a good article out today about the conflict and puts forward an interesting counter-narrative to Israels claim about "total control of Iranian airspace"

he fact that Israel appeared to primarily rely on UCAVS to strike Iranian military targets means the attrition of these vehicles would essentially neuter Israel’s offensive capabilities inside Iran. It would also potentially require risking real fighter aircraft to incur deeper into Iran and be shot down.

Thus, Israel was slowly losing its capability to deal damage, and more importantly, rapidly losing its capability to reflect damage from Iranian ballistic missiles. Thus, a quick claim of “victory” was in order to wrap things up before the humiliation got too palpable for the general populace.

Through the end of it, there remains not a single shred of proof that Israeli (or American, for that matter) planes ever significantly overflew Iran at any time. Claims of ‘total air superiority’ have no grounds, and up until the final day Israel continued relying on their heavy UCAVs to strike Iranian ground targets.

The most significant proof is that Israel very enthusiastically released footage of their strikes—so how come not a single clip from that footage showed strikes from fighter-bomber jets? Every clip was from a UCAV, which is telling.

Only one clip released yesterday showed what was claimed to be a jet at night flying over an Iranian city and conducting strikes, but upon research the city turned out to be Bander Abbas:

We're seeing reports, images and videos, coming in showing downed Israeli light and heavy drones from the conflict. But in all the video I've reviewed so far, I have not seen a single video of an Israeli fighter plane. I did see a lot of Iranian AD taking out waves of drones near cities, though. It comes as zero surprise that Israel's claims of airspace control are bullshit, but it maybe there was actually very little manned aircraft penetration inside Iranian airspace.

It's pretty interesting that Shitraels main strength being its airforce, might have performed so very poorly against a peer (or superior, really). If Israel is now reliant on drone warfare, and Iran is aligned with Russian and China, I'd say the "drone war" is already lost for Shitrael. As I'm writing this, Iran is out shopping

The rhetoric Israel is engaging in right now is some real fucking cope; a real red-shirt, brown pants moment. The shocking cost of Israel's military adventurism is beginning to compound with what Israeli's are calling a 'shaky economy' and the massive political corruption. It's not looking optimistic.

Haifa is still on fire and the Knesset is howling for war again. The media can hide the destruction from the world, to some extent, but not from the colonists. Meanwhile the IOF provocations continue in Iran with spy drones invading Iranian airspace, despite very strong repeated warnings. It feels like things could get hot again at any moment and "punishment" will resume. Just the presence of these aggressions is fucking up the material stability for the zionazis, and there are some hard limits on how much ideological fluff can cover that up.

[–] ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 2 days ago (1 children)

This lines up far more with the reporting I saw about the conflict from none western sources. The area where Iran did not have full control over its airspace, but they certanly had more control over it than anyone else.

It also with the spy planes looks like Israel wants a war agian, but got burned by being the agressor, and so now they are trying to bait Iran into striking in a matter where they have more plausable deniability

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 2 days ago

This whole DARVO strategy is exhausting.

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 2 days ago

We’re seeing reports, images and videos, coming in showing downed Israeli light and heavy drones from the conflict. But in all the video I’ve reviewed so far, I have not seen a single video of an Israeli fighter plane. I did see a lot of Iranian AD taking out waves of drones near cities, though. It comes as zero surprise that Israel’s claims of airspace control are bullshit, but it maybe there was actually very little manned aircraft penetration inside Iranian airspace.

Very true. The only footage of Israeli fighter plane that I have found is this one below. That was shared by Middle East Spectator but it is crazy that there no more footage. If there was footage readily available, it will be an incredible victory for Iranian promotional media.

As for the rest of the analysis, it is excellent! Thanks for sharing!

[–] o_d@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 2 days ago

Are the UCAVs generally shot down after striking a target?

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 13 points 2 days ago (2 children)

—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱/🇺🇸/🇯🇴 NEW: About 22% of Iran's missiles were intercepted by Jordan, 25% by the THAAD system and U.S. ships in the Mediterranean and Persian Gulf, and the remaining 53% were intercepted by Israel's own defensive systems

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml 13 points 2 days ago

Can we shame Jordan now please?

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 13 points 2 days ago (1 children)

What's the vibe of Jordanians these days? Seems like it would be hard to feel proud of protecting the guards at the concentration camp you live next.

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 14 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Some days ago I found in a Cuban Telegram that there are videos from Jordan that mention the following:

🇯🇴🇵🇸“Oh Gaza, we are sorry, we are also besieged.”

Jordanians chant in support of Gaza and condemn the occupation's aggression

Sadly, I can only speculate but lots of arabs are not happy with their puppet gov't that willingly submit to zionist and yankee interests.

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 12 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Good find. From the video it feels(?) like there's a significant opposition. Any idea what date this is?

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 13 points 2 days ago

This was from last year. Sadly, I can not gauge how strong is this opposition now. It will be better if a knowledgeable comrade can fill in the gaps here.

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 22 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

—❗️🇮🇷/🇨🇳 NEW: Iran's Minister of Defense, Aziz Nasirzadeh, landed in Beijing to meet with officials from the Chinese Ministry of Defense

@Middle_East_Spectator

This is something you might find interesting @i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml @ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml

[–] ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I am hopeful that this comes out with some sort of agreement, if that be Iran being added under the nuclear umbrella even temporarily, some sort of conditional defince treaty, but something more than the status quo.

That being said I am not super optomistic, the PRC has made great strides, and has conditioned its forign policy post USSR with avoiding getting into wars, as that makes it harder for them to be a propoganda target, and prevents them from over extending. the PRC has agian atleast sense the fall of the USSR been nothing if not risk averse, and only stepping where it knows it can, and this has served them well, the other edge of that sword is, I do not know how far they are willing to extend.

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Right now, from some Cuban Telegrams, some speculate that Iran was receiving support from China and Russia in a very subtle manner. One iranian military channel quoted in the Telegram channel mentioned the following:

  • Did Iran's friends help during the war with Israel? No one supported us publicly or explicitly, because it is not in anyone's interest to openly intervene in someone else's war. However, it is clear that behind the scenes, Iran's allies provided their own kind of support. It is best not to go into further details.
[–] ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I have no doubt the PRC provided subtle aid, but I am hoping for something more overt. Something that would make it obvous this is not the US and Israel vs Iran (and Yeman and Gaza who the western press ignores or says is just Iran)

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 2 days ago

I am pretty confident that overt support will appear soon if the zionist entity keeps seeking war because that is speeding up the material conditions that will allow that type of support.

Right now, I speculate that lots of Iran's allies are buying time to speed the development of their material conditions(BRICS, BRI, industrialization of the global south, diversification). A hot war will very likely affect these long term plans.

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 13 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Thanks. I just saw the clips of his arrival today. I'm really hoping China is willing to stick their out on this one for a defense agreement of some kind. The rhetoric coming out of Shitrael's political cabal right now is increasingly belligerent; they're basically announcing more attacks and sabotage in the near future. Just saw the Israeli Finance Minister declared Iranian banks as terrorist organizations. They're getting right back on the escalation ladder. Iran needs to be prepared. Russia and China can't just sit back and make softly worded statements about diplomacy if they don't want to end up isolated and under siege by the 4th Reich.

[–] o_d@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 2 days ago

I hope so too. This is an excellent opportunity for China to test out some of their domestically made anti-air defences in a real combat scenario.

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 22 points 2 days ago

Now even Israeli sources are admitting it was a total failure

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 21 points 2 days ago (1 children)

For all parents out there, be careful with the zionists when traveling abroad.

🇮🇷l🇮🇱 A Belarusian (Zionist) traveler at the Moscow airport, met an Iranian child, whose family left due to the Israeli war and brutally assaulted him

The child is in a coma and has serious injuries.

https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/iranian-boy-2-in-coma-after-man-slams-him-to-floor-at-moscow-airport-8758987

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 14 points 2 days ago

Just an update on this, the child wasn't even Iranian, he was an Afghan national. The zionist brain sees brown children and just goes into kill mode.

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 20 points 2 days ago (1 children)

—❗️🇷🇺/🇮🇷/🇺🇳 Russian Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov:

'I completely understand if Iran wants to suspend all cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

Grossi is now insisting that Iran grant the agency immediate access to its nuclear facilities to verify the whereabouts of enriched materials and assess the situation on the ground.

But where are the assurances that this information won’t be leaked? I see no such safeguards. There is no confidentiality at all.'

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] surjomukhi@lemmygrad.ml 15 points 2 days ago

US and israeli attacks on the nuclear facilities despite no evidence, and in fact the opposite, evidence that Iran was not developing nuclear weapons, gives Iran a very strong basis to refuse IAEA inspections. Iran should keep refusing inspections and in the meantime focus on developing nuclear weapons

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 26 points 3 days ago

—❗️🇷🇺/🇮🇷/🇮🇱/🇺🇳 Russia at the UN Security Council: 'It is very strange to us that Israel is sitting here. Israel is not a signatory of the NPT, why are they here? Hypocrisy.'

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 23 points 3 days ago (1 children)

🇵🇸🇮🇷| Palestinian resistance groups have become stronger thanks to Iran’s attacks

In an article by Yedioth Ahronoth, it admits that Israeli forces have been weakened in the Gaza Strip and currently are on the defense rather than offense.

It says the Palestinian resistance are taking back momentum, especially in Khan Younis, as many Israeli brigades have been withdrawn from the Strip due to Iran’s attacks.

Gaza has regained strategic focus after Iran’s attacks, says the article.

@FotrosResistancee

[–] REEEEvolution@lemmygrad.ml 7 points 2 days ago

So its back to genocide now.

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 22 points 3 days ago

The Iranian parliament is debating a bill to ban Grossi, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, from entering Iran.

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 21 points 3 days ago (2 children)
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[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 21 points 3 days ago

CNN:

"According to a preliminary assessment by US intelligence, the US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities did not destroy key components of the country's nuclear program and likely set it back only a few months.

Two sources familiar with the assessment said Iran's enriched uranium stockpile was not affected. In fact, one of them said, the centrifuges used to enrich uranium were undamaged

Mission failed successfully moment

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