this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2025
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[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 16 points 5 days ago (4 children)

According to Reuters, Iran informed Qatar in advance of strikes on US bases and The New York Times, which first reported the coordination, said Iran took the action to minimize casualties.

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[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Israeli media: Iran used missiles that have never been launched before in its latest attacks.

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[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 11 points 4 days ago

Iran decided to punish US aggressors; won't accept imposed peace: Def. Min

https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/06/23/750080/iran-decided-punish-us-aggressors-wont-accept-imposed-peace-def-min

Iran's defense minister says the country will never yield to forcible reconciliation with aggressors, while condemning the American aggression against the country.

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 19 points 5 days ago (2 children)

Speedrunning OPEC embargo and Iraq 2 at the same time

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[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 4 days ago
[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 4 days ago

Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich: said that "Iran will waver" after Iran's latest missile attack on Israel. Might have been "Tehran will shake"

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 14 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

🇺🇸 Reuters: Donald Trump's approval rating falls to 41%

I'd be building gulags if that number got above 2%

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 4 days ago
[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 15 points 5 days ago (4 children)

Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, UAE and Kuwait all condemned the 'unprovoked' Iranian attack on a U.S. base in Qatar.

Clown world.

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[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 4 days ago
[–] sudo_halt@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 4 days ago (18 children)

GG wp it's over we fucking lost

Liberal axis in Iran has gobbled up power. Iran will liberalize when Khamenei is replaced. FUCK

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 4 days ago

Welcome back

[–] burlemarx@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 4 days ago (2 children)

Excuse me, but can you explain it better? I didn't understand your comment.

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[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 4 days ago

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 The impact in Be'er Shebaa

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 4 days ago

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 BREAKING: Direct hit on a 7-story building in Be'er Shebaa – Hebrew Media

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 13 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)
[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 11 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (2 children)

Seeing almost nothing on Iranian media about a ceasefire

Most reporting seems to be in western media

Update:

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[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 11 points 4 days ago

—❗️🇮🇶/🇺🇸 BREAKING: Attacks against several U.S. bases in Iraq, likely by Iraqi resistance factions

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (3 children)

— 🇮🇷/🇮🇱 What was the reason Iran agreed to the ceasefire, and did Israel 'win'? I will explain it to you straight.

In the opening strike, due to a combination of widespread internal sabotage and extensive Israeli airstrikes, most of Iran's long/medium range air defenses were wiped out.

Since day 2 or 3 of the war, the Israelis have operated with almost complete freedom over Iran's skies. First in the West, then gradually expanding to the center. We saw even UAVs operating quite freely at some point, a tell tale sign that something is truly wrong. This matter of air superiority is key to understanding the missile situation.

While Iran still has tens of thousands of ballistic missiles and hundreds of launchers, that's not the issue at all. The issue is, due to total Israeli air superiority, no large-scale missile attack could be staged without receiving an immediate preemptive strike from the enemy. The moment Iran takes the launchers out of the underground base, Israel detects this, and strikes with impunity.

This forced Iran to carry out missile operations with smaller hit-and-run tactics, using older long range missiles from bases in the Center and the East, and unfortunately Iran's capability to respond in large volumes gradually declined.

In these circumstances, realistically, a war cannot be maintained. Since the first few days, real deterrence was already gone, despite some periodic strikes on 'less than relevant' targets (with the notable exception of Weizmann institute and Unit 8200 Logistics HQ). Launching 10-20 missiles daily would be a waste if it is not an instrument to a wider military objective.

Militarily speaking, Israel is the clear winner, and there is no sugarcoating this. However, politically, Israel lost. The Israelis did not achieve most of their main objectives. The Islamic Republic still stands, Iran's nuclear program still has a future, and martyred commanders have been replaced.

Israel's main achievement in this war is the near complete dismantlement of Iranian AD sites, and as a result, the successful suppression of large-scale missile fire from Iran. This forces Iran into a corner, as it was no longer able to keep up with the escalation.

The problem now is the following: Israel will use this ceasefire to re-arm itself. It will prepare for another war, more aggression, and to gradually achieve the goal they really wanted in the first place; regime change in Iran. It is also likely that they will try to implement the 'Lebanon model' in Iran — and strike targets inside Iran during the ceasefire, with relative impunity and no response.

How will Iran deal with this issue? Iran also has to rebuild its capabilities. Once again, missiles and launchers are not the issue. Iran will repair the collapsed tunnel entrances of missile bases in the West, and almost all missile bases (with the exception of Tabriz) will become operational again. But then what? The air defense network is gone, the same situation will instantly repeat itself.

Iran somehow has to find a way to guarantee that this ceasefire is not one-sided, that it rebuilds its capabilities, and that it finds a solution that guarantees its own survival and prevents any new Israeli aggression. In my opinion, the only way this can be done is rushing towards a nuclear bomb, nothing more and nothing less.

Because I respect my readers' intelligence, I will not pretend like this was some sort of 'military win' for Iran, although Israel did not fully win either.

But please read my analysis above, there are some nuances and some important points (in the political scene for example, Israel lost).

An advice to my colleagues of other channels: If we cannot acknowledge our own shortcomings and defeats, then we will never improve. Now is the time for self-reflection.

Iran has lots of work to do. So let's get to work.

I will always stand with the Islamic Republic and its leadership, no matter what happens.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Let me know your thoughts on this analysis @i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml @ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml and whoever is online!

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[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 13 points 5 days ago

🤡 🤡 🤡 🤡

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 4 days ago (2 children)

PressTV stream says they "might" be 30 minutes into the ceasefire

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[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 4 days ago
[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 4 days ago (1 children)

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 BREAKING: The alleged 'ceasefire' has now gone into effect

NOTE: Iran's last wave will arrive shortly after the ceasefire went into effect, but was launched before.

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] freagle@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 4 days ago (1 children)

That's dominant! Never even considered that.

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[–] Commiejones@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 4 days ago (5 children)

So Abbas's tweets kinda say. "If israel stops after 4am we will stop" and "we launched one last wave at 3:59"

He's saying "I'm going to hit you one more time. if you hit back I'm not stopping untill you are broken"

It isn't a cease fire. Its an offer for israel to capitulate and give up on trying to stop Iran for gaining nuclear weapons.

I think its being done to appease Russia.

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[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 15 points 5 days ago (3 children)

🚨 BREAKING:

Iran has just launched several ballistic missiles at the U.S. Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar.

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[–] tastemyglaive@lemmy.ml 10 points 4 days ago

This is such stinking dogshit, DPRK was going to send military aid, why would you let them down like this

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 4 days ago (3 children)
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[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 12 points 4 days ago

Mahmoud Abbas, President of the Palestinian Authority, condemned the Iranian attack on the US air base in Al-Udeid in Qatar.

lenin facepalm

zoidberg saluting 1

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 4 days ago

So much contradictory shit floating around. The PressTV stream said the 'ceasefire deadline was already violated, but maybe it was Yemen and not us'

[–] rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 4 days ago

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 Be'er Shebaa

@Middle_East_Spectator

[–] tastemyglaive@lemmy.ml 12 points 5 days ago

https://xcancel.com/ME_Observer_/status/1937213787007770948#m

Middle East Observer - ⚡️⭕️Failed American air defense missiles endangered the lives of Qata. [1937213690912059392].mp4 1 MB https://files.catbox.moe/jr0ycl.mp4

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 4 days ago (1 children)
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[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 12 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Trump says Iran gave US ‘early notice’ of Al Udeid attack

The US president dismissed the Iranian missile launch at Al Udeid Air Base as weak, suggesting that Washington will not respond to it.

“I am pleased to report that NO Americans were harmed, and hardly any damage was done. Most importantly, they’ve gotten it all out of their ‘system,’ and there will, hopefully, be no further HATE,” Trump said in a social media post.

“I want to thank Iran for giving us early notice, which made it possible for no lives to be lost, and nobody to be injured. Perhaps Iran can now proceed to Peace and Harmony in the Region, and I will enthusiastically encourage Israel to do the same.

AJ

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[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 4 days ago

Dozens of Palestinians have reportedly been killed and wounded as Israeli forces directly fired on civilians seeking aid on Salah al-Din Street, south of Wadi Gaza in central Gaza. (Quds News)

At least 47 Palestinians have been killed today in multiple Israeli raids and ‘aid massacres’ that have targeted several areas across the Gaza Strip since dawn Monday.

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 22 points 5 days ago

Spain's foreign minister: I will ask EU to approve immediate suspension of trade agreement with 'Israel'

[–] i_c_b_m@lemmygrad.ml 14 points 5 days ago

Unprovoked aggression against Iran has no basis or justification: Putin

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