marx_ex_machina

joined 2 months ago
[–] marx_ex_machina@hexbear.net 18 points 17 hours ago

the Capitalist occam's razor agony-limitless

[–] marx_ex_machina@hexbear.net 21 points 17 hours ago (3 children)

Since it looks like the Israelis miscalculated due to their own ideological blinders, do you think the strategy now then is to just flatten Iran with the USAF and minimize the amount of damage done to the rest of world's economy?

[–] marx_ex_machina@hexbear.net 22 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

Hmm, I see. This seems like a very high price to pay but I suppose Israel's leadership is completely drunk off fascist ideology so rationality is out the window anyways.

[–] marx_ex_machina@hexbear.net 67 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago) (24 children)

Maybe it will all be revealed months or years from now, but the timing in the responses of the US and Isr*el feel very strange to me. As people on this site have pointed out, the US has been positioning forces in the Gulf for months now, with all the bombers being transferred in, and then all the staff being pulled out of embassies leading up to the Israeli attack, etc. Clearly the US knew shit was about to go down.

But then, why is the US waiting at least a whole week to step in (assuming they do), or why didn't Israel wait a little longer to strike if the US isn't quite ready yet? Is the US purposely letting Israel get a bloody nose as a casus belli to intervene and turn Iran into another Yemen, like they've always wanted? But then again, why even bother having a casus belli when no one besides the neocons/zionists in charge want to do this at all anyways? Was it all a severe miscalculation? Iran is heavily infiltrated by Mossad, so there's no way they don't know Iran's military capabilities, or the fact that there were people who could replace the officials they assassinated. I guess I'm just confused. Israel is literally built off this myth about being an unsinkable safe haven--getting battered by Iran seems very damaging for stability in the short and long term. I suppose we can only wait, fog of war and all that. It feels like the whole world is waiting for the other shoe to drop.

[–] marx_ex_machina@hexbear.net 52 points 1 day ago (5 children)

For an American rightist, Tucker is on the sharper side. He knows which way the wind is blowing—the vast majority of Americans dislike Israel and don’t want war with Iran, and I have a feeling he’s trying to position himself as a more important “America first” figure when the Trump train inevitably collapses within the next few years and the reactionaries have to find a new personality to coalesce around.

Also, I don’t doubt he gets money from Russia. lol.

[–] marx_ex_machina@hexbear.net 14 points 2 weeks ago

Look, I’m not a fan of modern Russia, but this feels like an extremely ahistorical pop-history take. I’m not even sure how Russia would exist as a state if all their leaders were the “bumbling ideologues” you describe them as. The Russian government has been pretty clear what their goals and motives are since Putin took power.

[–] marx_ex_machina@hexbear.net 9 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

Thanks for the response! You bring up a lot of good points.

With regards to the beginning of the Cold War, I think Stalin’s conservative approach does make sense from the perspective you laid out; the Soviets had just lost >25 million people and much of their industry.

With respect to post-Soviet Russia, yeah I think they’re truly stuck between a rock and a hard place. They don’t want to capitulate to the west but still understandably want broader peace. To be honest, if I was in Putin’s shoes I don’t really know what I’d do. Be socialist again? Lol.

Russia is such an interesting country to me because of this weird space they occupy where they’re like a sort of Schrödinger’s European. Simultaneously Western and not. I do wish the Russian left could become a more meaningful force in politics there. ussr-cry

 

I was prompted to ask this question by listening to Season 3 of the Blowback podcast (fantastic podcast btw, I can’t believe I started listening to it until now), which is focused on the Korean War. One thing that stuck out to me was how reluctant Stalin was to give the DPRK Soviet support; he was possibly even willing to let the American occupiers be neighbors with the USSR if it meant he didn’t have to fight the US. He seemed to genuinely think he could engage in compromise with America.

This Western-friendly behavior from Stalin’s government wasn’t particularly new either. Prior to WWII, he reached out to the Brits/French/US to form a pact against Hitler, was rejected, and of course the Munich agreement followed and the Soviets settled with the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact.

It is said Stalin greatly admired Roosevelt, and apparently even Churchill. After WWII, he and the US were able to agree on Austria being a neutral state, and Stalin really wanted a similarly neutral, unified Germany as well (this of course, the US would reject).

So that’s Stalin—genuinely seemed to think the West would act in good faith, but continuously got burned.

Fast-forward to the ‘90s, when much of the Russian/Soviet populace (especially Gorbachev) thought they too would get a liberalized, social-democracy with strong welfare and cheap commodities like Western Europe. Instead, Western financiers gutted their country and basically started the apocalypse until Putin comes along and stabilizes things.

But then Putin asks Bill Clinton if they can join NATO, gets burned again. Even several years ago, the Russians seemed to think the West would uphold their end of the Minsk 2 agreement, and now we have Merkel on tape saying that was never going to be the case. Only with the invasion of Ukraine does it seem like Russia has finally gotten the memo that the West will never act towards them in good faith (and even then, I’m not sure if that sentiment is resolute).

Compare this with other independent non-Western nations, such as China, the DPRK, Cuba, Venezuela, Iran, Yemen, Burkina Faso under Traoré, etc. These nations exist on a spectrum, with the DPRK or Yemen being openly hostile towards NATO while China is eager to do business (but doesn’t seem to be under any illusion that it will get to join The Big Club).

So TLDR: it seems to me the Soviets/Russians have constantly engaged with the West in good faith, but always get burned. This stands in contrast to other independent countries which have always seemed much more cynical. Is it due to their relative proximity to whiteness? A lack of direct colonization? Why have the Russians constantly thought they would ever be considered equal partners with the West?

 

Hi all,

I’ve been a longtime lurker here and this is my first real post—I wanted to ask folks about the liberalization and subsequent destruction of the USSR versus Deng’s reforms in the PRC.

I know the USSR’s politburo was largely calcified near the end of its existence (with a lot of politicians being in their 60s-70s, lots of corruption, etc.) and the choice to both politically and economically liberalize is what put the last nail in the coffin for the USSR. From what I have read, the party basically gave its power away, let other parties run, and many old party members became part of the new bourgeois class. Most takes I see from other communists these days seem to be of the opinion that it’s the political liberalization that really killed the USSR, not necessarily just the economic opening up.

Which brings us to China: I think it’s an understatement to call the PRC’s development a miracle, and it seems like they’re going to continue a progressive path for the foreseeable future. Deng also opened things up, but in a much more controlled manner, with no political liberalization—it seems this is what has really contributed to the PRC’s success. Using the developmental ability of capital, while ensuring power remains in the hands of a state ideologically committed to improving material conditions, has worked well.

So my question then is: what allowed China’s political system to be adept at managing their economy without caving to bourgeois interests, compared to the USSR’s? What caused the USSR’s political system to fail compared to China’s? Does it have to do with policies made as far back as Stalin or Khrushchev? And what can a revolutionary socialist movement take away from this contrast to ensure it wouldn’t happen again in a (hypothetical) future?

Any responses or resources are greatly appreciated! Thank you.