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Yeah that is insanely unbelievable. Maybe a tenth of that is barely realistic but 15k of sample error would mean that valve is completely shit at selecting a good sample.
Even if their sample size is large, you're assuming that people who are willing to respond to the survey are evenly distributed across different OS. I wouldn't be surprised if their is a slant to this data just because it's based on an opt in survey.
That is a good point and might be true, but statistics people deal with that kind of bias all the time and can also adjusted for it. But yeah who knows what kind of people are responsible for these surveys at valve.