this post was submitted on 26 Jun 2025
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You should be pretty happy with China then. They have a replacement rate just over one. That's lower than the US or Europe.
They're attempting to raise the replacement rate to maintain their still massive population. It is problematic.
So you're saying there are just too many Chinese people? How many should there be?
From 2021 to 2022 they added another 38 Million Tons of CO2 per year to their 10,575 Mt
If they want to reverse that in one year then they need to have 4,166,667 less people plus extra to account for increasing CO2 per person. Obviously thats a nonsense plan, they need to set a target year and slowly change their replacement rate with overcorrection over the duration, but thats precisely what they are not doing.
That's not really how it works. Some random Chinese peasant (that's the vast majority of China's population) doesn't produce much CO2. You can add or remove millions of them without significantly impacting coal consumption or CO2 production.
Industry pollutes. Some types pollute more than others.
China has been increasing energy usage across the board at a much higher rate than the population has been growing. It's a nonsense plan because there's no reason to think that reducing the population would affect that trend.
While there's a clear trend of China using more coal there's just as clear a trend of coal making up a smaller and smaller share of China's power usage over time. Just about every analysis says they're solidly on track to completely phase out coal by 2025 and nobody predicts they'll need to shrink their population to do it.
Death comes for both the rich and the poor, mate.