this post was submitted on 03 Jun 2025
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This is a great point. I think what is most jarring to me is the speed at which this is happening. I may be wrong but it felt like those other industries, it took at least a couple decades for it to happen, and it feels like tech is doing it in a matter of months?
Nah. It's two different phenomena with the same end point. Those other industries lost young entrants because of the rise of the college pursuit. And yes that took decades. But for software we're still 20 years out at least before the we have a retirement crisis.
Although, we already one back in 2000 when not enough working age people knew COBOL.
Anyway, it's a historical process. It's just one we've seen over and over and just don't learn the lesson.