this post was submitted on 30 Apr 2025
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Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated further after a top Pakistani official claimed early Wednesday to have “credible intelligence” that New Delhi will carry out a military action against Islamabad within the next two days.

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[–] LiamMayfair@lemmy.sdf.org 34 points 1 day ago (4 children)

ITT people claiming this could be a WW3 starter. Even if India engaged Pakistan militarily, I fail to see how that would lead to anything larger than a localised conflict.

Like, neither country is geopolitically significant enough for any major players to care at that level. Sure, India getting bogged down in war could affect supply chains around the world, but would any of the heavyweights like US, China, Russia or a semi-relevant NATO country think that would be worth their involvement? If Russia being on year 11 of their military invasion of a NATO-bordering country hasn't sparked a world war yet, I don't see how this would either.

[–] TechLich@lemmy.world 16 points 1 day ago

Since when is India not a major player? Last I checked they were the world's 4th biggest economy, have almost 20% of the population of the planet (more than four USes combined), 4th largest military spend and have nearly 200 nukes.

Not to say that it would be part of a world war but it sounds weird to say that they're not a heavyweight but Russia is, despite having double Russia's economic output.

[–] drmoose@lemmy.world 9 points 1 day ago (1 children)
[–] vga@sopuli.xyz 5 points 1 day ago

They've had these border skirmishes and terrorist attacks about every 2-3 years for the last 50 years without resorting to nukes.

[–] khannie@lemmy.world 14 points 1 day ago* (last edited 19 hours ago)

Agree with everything you've said. They only thing is China has been contesting a North Eestern border with India for some time so they might take the opportunity for some shenanigans.

Still don't see it escalating beyond regional though as you said.

If Modi thinks it'll help him stay in power, he'd probably do it.