The effect is going to be long term. The most active users (usually 10% posters, 1% content creators and mods) were the most affected by the changes. Those are also the most vocal. And, probably the first ones to move here. Once those move reddit content will get worse over time which will make the other users move (89%) too. So yea, don't expect short term impact. It's the long run that matters
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The good thing is, I really don't care. Lemmy/Jerboa catapulted me from feeling bad for people staying on enshittified reddit to not thinking about them at all.
Define mass.... The giant Twitter exodus we can now know was maybe 10%, some to mastodon/fedi, the rest who knows. I'd assume the same for Reddit, pending any factual data.
And I suspect that many of those they left Reddit, reddit is better off without -- super touchy argumentative people kinda made a noisy bro-ish pass through, may be starting to calm down now... I hope.
The thing is, to me, to not worry about what "other people" are doing and stfu and build community. Post what you want to read etc. We don't need over 9000 million people we just need the right people who show and contribute and all that.
And so here we are!
Nah. Not yet, at least. Reddit is still largely intact as a community despite the severe hatred of the admins, and Lemmy hasn't even come close to maturing yet. Once the lack of effective moderation starts to sink in, and Lemmy starts getting bigger and filling in more niches, people will probably be more keen on switching.
The right-wing troll posters have gotten bolder and more prominent in subs I used to visit that's for sure. They used to get heavily downvoted and people used to rebut their garbage, but much less so now.
It looked to me like it strongly depends on which sub. Some are basically unaffected. Some are very different (In a bad way) some are dead.
I'm not particularly active on the Fediverse, but that's primarily because even my regular Reddit usage had atrophied in the last year or two. I've kinda gotten out of the habit of looking at site aggregators, so that's more likely my problem.
Realistically, who really knows? Reddit isn't going to release numbers, so it's all third-party stuff at this point.
I wouldn't be surprised if Lemmy got a large bump over the last few weeks, but with how many issues there are on Lemmy in terms of the servers going down and such, I wouldn't be surprised if the daily number of visitors here levels off and possibly even starts to decrease as users get tired of this.
Heck, just to post this comment took about 2 hours to on and off servers showing as being down. I can understand some growing pains as the site grows, but many users won't.
Hello,
As a suggestion, you might want to try another instance less popular than lemmy.world. I had the same issues a few weeks ago, and then created a few accounts on other instances, that way I'm always safe.
I don't think Reddit will feel a noteworthy sting anytime soon. But that's okay. Like some here have already said, what matters is fediverse ultimately growing big enough for us to have a sizeable group of people to interact with regarding hobbies or any random topic posted here.
Although, I can't move on without whining about the bug or whatever it was that prevented me from commenting anywhere for the last ...almost a month! On rare occasions, I couldn't even see anything on my feed so Lemmy clearly has ways to go in regards to matters outside of its contents.
At least when I see them advertising making ads on Facebook everyone is negative to them
I personally visit Reddit less than I did previously. And from the subs I was part of there does seem to be a drop off in new posts that are not the usual begging for help or complaining about how "x" (not the artist formerly known as Twitter) sucks just to bitch.
So there is still a lot of traffic there and content created, it is just more slanted to the mindless type of content than it was before in my experience.
I deleted my account and have gone cold turkey. It sucks not googling stuff with “reddit” at the end because honestly a lot of great answers to things are there
It all depends on the quality content that we the users create. More quality content and more people will come.