this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] CoolerOpposide@hexbear.net 58 points 5 hours ago* (last edited 5 hours ago) (6 children)

For anybody wondering if Zohran is hiding his power levels

Yes. I have so much to say about him and this campaign and I’m thinking I’ll do that write up this weekend or early next week

[–] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 24 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

I mean, I assume there are plenty of elected politicians that are personally in their hearts further left than their platform, the question is what they want to push for while in office, obviously he won't be pushing for workers owning the means of production, or maybe anything, but there may be positive things he wants to do that build power and confidence for workers to one day push for those things more vocally, rather than depending on a guy with power who, at one time when he didn't have power, publicly believed those things.

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[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 12 points 4 hours ago

lol I imagine if he is indeed hiding his power levels it’s not like you can just say that on this little website, I get it. So I will take this your admission that he is without actually saying it ;)

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[–] LoveYourself@hexbear.net 28 points 5 hours ago (24 children)

Obama 2.0 dropped

629 days of livestreamed extermination and this is who I am supposed to be celebrating?

US cultural hegemony and liberal zionism are scourges.

[–] CoolerOpposide@hexbear.net 51 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago) (5 children)

“Obama 2.0” this must be a joke?

The video you shared is a short form answer for an extremely liberal audience to win an election. He already has clarified his public stance on Israel as having the right to exist only as a state with equal rights for all. To any leftist hearing that, you should immediately know he is saying Israel as we know it CANNOT exist. He is very obviously not a Zionist if you look at all at his history of organizing.

Touting the endorsement of an extremely popular politician in your home city to win an election is not the dig you think it is. Why on earth would he denounce her endorsement if he’s actually interested in winning?

Increasing funding for hate crime prevention does NOT just include for antisemitism. Also we should want increased funding for prevention of antisemitism and all hate crimes. Am I missing something here?

You’re pointing out a singular deleted tweet of his, being highlighted by a right wing grifter Twitter account, when he still has things like this up on his Twitter.

And what is he supposed to do? Endorse vandalism?

Please be serious. This is an embarrassingly poorly read post. I swear to god some people ostensibly on the left think it’s more important to do nothing wrong than it is to actually do something right and make some progress.

[–] Muinteoir_Saoirse@hexbear.net 12 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago) (1 children)

"Increased funding for hate crime prevention" means increased policing, because currently in the US the only "prevention" for hate crime is policing. Any increase to policing, and any moves to put the "safety" of marginalized people into the hands of the police, is violence.

Edit: I recommend Dean Spade's Normal Life: Administrative Violence, Critical Trans Politics, & The Limits of the Law for a really good analysis of the way that "hate crime" laws and hate crime policing are dangerous ways to deflect from real justice, and also serve to increase the amount of violence that marginalized people face.

[–] CoolerOpposide@hexbear.net 16 points 3 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago) (1 children)

He wants to hire social workers and expand the social safety net, not increase police funding. Please at least attempt to familiarize yourself with the material you are discussing before making sweeping statements about it

[–] Muinteoir_Saoirse@hexbear.net 13 points 3 hours ago (5 children)

What a goon, social workers are cops too, but sure quote Mao when someone disagrees with you because disagreement can only arise if someone doesn't investigate. Obviously you're the only person who knows anything and you're always right, so until we reach your conclusions we must just not have studied hard enough

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[–] spectre@hexbear.net 36 points 4 hours ago

Obama 2.0 dropped

Let's see what he materially does when he's in office. Too early to tell.

629 days of livestreamed extermination and this is who I am supposed to be celebrating?

If you are US American or Canadian: yes. If you aren't either of those: let it rip.

Past revolutionaries did much dirtier things to gain and retain power than Zohran refusing to tank his campaign by quieting his tone in order to win an election and actually have the power to positively effect his community. His approach to the genocide has impressed me more than the PRC's has, as one example (given the respective context of each entity).

US cultural hegemony and liberal zionism are scourges.

Agree, it sucks that he has to walk back the public presentation of some of his principles in order to win. That's politics, it's fucking dirty even when you're the "good guy". It is even true of non-electoral politics to some extent. You do what you need to do to gain power, and once you can wield it effectively with the support of those you represent, you have more freedom to actually be a leader.

Nothing wrong with being outraged about the ongoing genocide, ofc. Zohran is hopefully the first of many, and he has proven that support for Palestine (which he does, even if his public presentation of that has been modified for purposes of winning a campaign) does not permanently tank you forever in your political career. This is good, Zionism in the U.S. still holds strong, but is quickly eroding. At this point, the more they ask him about it, the faster it erodes; we have the upper hand and that should be celebrated.

[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 24 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago) (23 children)

Would love an explanation as to why you believe he should say he won't fight antisemtism.

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[–] Bakzik@hexbear.net 14 points 3 hours ago (5 children)

Leaving a comment here. I want to come back to this post in a few months-years.

Comrades, we are materialistic. There is more chances that this guy bends the knee to the hegemonic power than really pushing socialist laws (more close to the SPD than Bolchevisk use of the capitalist state power).

We also know how the USA operates when we talk of progressive politicians (not even socialist ones).

I wish him and his supporter the best. But, comrades, be materialistic, don't be idealistic.

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[–] Jabril@hexbear.net 31 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago) (1 children)

The dialectical relationship between your post and the post immediately before it by a few minutes is really giving peak hexbear

[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 11 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

I’m surprised we’re doing this dance again, I thought we were free after Bernie and AOC show their true colors

[–] MizuTama@hexbear.net 9 points 3 hours ago

The Third-Worldists feeling justified as we Amerikkkans once again argue over electoralism.

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[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 43 points 5 hours ago (2 children)

Prominent donors are gunning to get Republican mayoral nominee Curtis Sliwa a job in the Trump Administration in hopes of pushing him out of New York City’s mayoral race, sources told me. The aim is to open up the GOP nomination — and the nearly 30% of the vote someone running in that lane is expected to get — for current mayor Eric Adams.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 29 points 5 hours ago* (last edited 5 hours ago) (3 children)

No amount of money in the world can get Eric "Mr. Türkiye" Adams to win the mayoral race running as a Republican in New York City. They could blow billions of dollars like Bloomberg during his 2020 run and maybe Adams would get 30%. His approval rating right now is 20%. Almost 60% of New Yorkers not only disapprove, 60% of New Yorkers think he should resign from office right now. No amount of money can make that ghoul win.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 7 points 2 hours ago* (last edited 2 hours ago)

Guess the goal from the establishment uniparty is to try split the vote so an establishment democrat running as an independent can win, because there's no way Adams is winning lol. Independent, Democrat, or Republican, Adams is truly in the gutter no matter what.

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 23 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

He is already running as an independent.

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[–] MaxOS@hexbear.net 17 points 4 hours ago

They would probably have more success in running Giuliani again.

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