this post was submitted on 12 May 2025
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Image is from the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists' recent article on Kashmir.


It looks like the spat between India and Pakistan could be dying down, due to a new ceasefire. As of the time of me writing this paragraph, it seems both sides want to maintain it (despite some reports of violations here and there).

Both sides have declared victory, which is completely expected given their mutual political parties and nationalist histories. It's a little harder to say which side has actually won, as both sides seem to have managed to shoot down aircraft and hit military bases. India has, in my opinion, had the more embarrassing moments, but international conflicts aren't cringe compilations. I feel no good-will towards Pakistan's comprador government, but it is at least nice to see Modi knocked down a few pegs. Regardless of the final technical victor, it's obvious that - if the ceasefire is maintained - who won are the hundreds of millions of people who won't have to live in fear of dying in nuclear hellfire.

This conflict is a good example of what multipolarity will truly entail. Countries that have been previously limited in their nationalist ambitions by American pressure will now take opportunities to revolt, sometimes against America itself, and sometimes against other countries in their regional neighbourhood. It's also why, as communists, our goals do not stop at multipolarity; it is merely the establishing act of a new era of agitation against peripheral and semi-peripheral capitalist countries that are forming powerful national bourgeoisie classes as the international American capitalists are forced away.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 47 points 1 month ago

President Putin Vows on Victory Day to Continue Fighting Nazism - Telesur English

Article

Russia was and will remain an insurmountable barrier to Nazism, Russophobia, and antisemitism, he stressed. On Friday, Russian President Vladimir Putin vowed to continue fighting Nazism, including in Ukraine, during the military parade marking the 80th anniversary of the Red Army’s victory in World War II.

“Russia was and will remain an insurmountable barrier to Nazism, Russophobia, and antisemitism, and will combat the brutality of those promoting such aggressive and destructive ideas,” Putin said during his address from a tribune set up in Red Square in front of Lenin’s Mausoleum.

Putin declared that his country would never forget the lessons of the WW2, in which the USSR— which did not engage in the war until Germany invaded Soviet territory in 1941— lost 26 million people, including eight million soldiers. Although Kyiv did not officially join the three-day unilateral truce declared by Putin, Ukrainian drones did not spoil the Kremlin’s celebration, and none had flown over Russian territory since the day before.

Putin and Xi, Inseparable

A smiling Putin appeared on the tribune between Chinese leader Xi Jinping and the 100-year-old Soviet veteran Ivan Martinushkin, the last living witness who participated in the liberation of the Auschwitz concentration camp in Poland by the Red Army on January 27, 1945.

Putin did not part from Xi for a single moment, constantly making comments to him about the units and military equipment parading over the cobblestones of the square. Not even when they later laid a floral offering at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier.

In addition to Russian troops, military detachments from thirteen countries marched, including an honor guard from China’s People’s Liberation Army. Not far from Putin sat invited leaders such as Lula da Silva (Brazil), Nicolas Maduro (Venezuela), Miguel Diaz-Canel (Cuba), Teodoro Obiang (Equatorial Guinea), and Alexander Lukashenko (Belarus).

Also invited to the tribune were American and Israeli war veterans, but notably absent were representatives from the Soviet Union’s World War II allies, who did attend the 50th and 60th anniversaries in 1995 and 2005.

Nazism Is Still Alive

Putin, who requested a moment of silence in memory of the fallen, asserted that “truth and justice” are on Russia’s side in fighting the rehabilitation of Nazism, accusing Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky—who is of Jewish descent—of doing just that.

He emphasized that the ancestors of the Russian people “entrusted” their descendants to “firmly defend national interests, their millennia-old history, culture, traditional values, and everything that is valuable and sacred to us,” clearly alluding to the Russian language and Orthodox religion in Ukraine.

“The entire country, society, and people support the participants in the special military operation. We are proud of their bravery and determination, that strength of spirit which has always and only brought us victory,” he said and paid tribute to the role played by the Allied countries in defeating Hitler’s forces.

“We will always remember that the opening of a second front in Europe after the decisive battles on Soviet territory brought the victory closer… Russia highly values the contribution to our shared victory made by the soldiers of the Allied armies, resistance fighters, the brave Chinese people, and all those who fought for a peaceful future,” Putin stated.

“The complete defeat of Nazi Germany, militarist Japan, and their satellites in various parts of the world was achieved thanks to joint efforts,” he insisted.

Intercontinental Missiles and Assault Drones

During the parade itself, around 130 war machines rolled through, including the legendary Soviet T-34 tanks and SU-100 self-propelled artillery units, both used during WW2. One of the stars of the parade was the imposing Yars intercontinental ballistic missiles, which have a range of up to 7,500 miles.

Also on display were T-90M Proryv tanks—the first Russian tank with an automatic transmission; the 152mm Malva artillery piece mounted on an eight-wheeled BAZ chassis; Iskander ballistic missiles; and the new Kurganets-25 armored personnel carrier.

But the real novelty was the drones, which have proven highly effective in Ukraine. Specifically, the parade featured Geran-2 drones, widely believed to be copies of Iranian Shahed drones; Orlan reconnaissance drones; and Lancet kamikaze drones, all transported on Kamaz off-road trucks.

[–] LoveYourself@hexbear.net 47 points 1 month ago (25 children)

Chat, what is your take on this guy? Does anyone know about the DEFUSE DARPA program and the bat pathology stuff that he is talking about in this?

Jeffrey Sachs: COVID was 99% Likely From the US

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=afK0mGXDF4o

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[–] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 47 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (4 children)

Gustavo Petro posted a video on twitter, Some Maoist Lessons, about the chinese revolution and Colombia. Translation in the replies

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 47 points 1 month ago (1 children)
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[–] SexMachineStalin@hexbear.net 47 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Oh no.

Africa Muslims Agency had an advertisement to donate for Qurbani as Eid-al-Adha is about 3 weeks away and the programme didn't mention Palestine this time around, at least not directly. There is of course, many obstacles to get food into a city-state under the iron heel of the West, where the average person has less food in a month than a typical South African has in a day.

So a major South African humanitarian aid group is now totally shut off too.

Death to piSSrael, may the Nazi colony never know peace

[–] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 46 points 1 month ago (7 children)

capybara-theorist The strange return of the military to portuguese politics.

For the first time since the revolution, where a military coup ended the dictatorship, Portugal is going to have a military president, it's going to be navy admiral Henrique Gouveia e Melo.

Wait, did we just have a presidential election? No, that's only in 2026. But this guy, who just confirmed he was running despite saying he'd rather hang himself than do it, has always topped every presidential poll where he shows up, sometimes winning outight, other times making it to the second round with over 40%.

Why's he so popular? Well back during covid portugal handled the first wave pretty well, but then we got hit with a pretty bad second wave and suddently everybody needed vaccines which the government was having trouble giving out, then they put this guy in charge of the vaccine distribution system and suddently everybody could get vaccines. Now this kinda corresponded with the period where there were simply more vaccines being produced and being made available, so how much he mattered to distributing them is debatable but nevertheless he became viewed as a disciplined competent army guy amidst an incompetent political class.

Then he fucked off for a few years and came back last year with rumours surrouding his willingness to run for president, which yesterday, 4 days before a general election, he confirmed.

He's been involved in a few scandals during his active time in the navy but nothing that stuck to him.

His politics are still mostly unknown, but he has publicly said that he is in between "socialism and social democracy", but before you get too excited understand that in this country "socialism" means the center-left liberal social democratic "Socialist Party" and "social democracy" means the center-right christian democratic "Social Democratic Party", so what he's saying is that he's a centrist, but not a "centrist" like what "centrist" means in this country since that means the right-wing "Democratic Social Center" party.

He's said some other things like, for example, that he dislikes germans because he has jewish friends, that portugal is really "multiple nations" by which he probably means the former colonies, that he could dissolve parliament based on whether the government is breaking campaign promises. So far no parties support him but he has met with some the leader of the right-wing aforemeantioned CDS party.

Either way the presidency is mostly a ceremonial post, although the current center-right president, elected on the first round for both his terms, has dissolved 3 governments, 1 socialist minority, 1 socialist absolute majority and now 1 social democratic minority, and involved himself in government politics far more than his predecessors.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 46 points 1 month ago

BURKINA FASO-VENEZUELA MEETUP IN RUSSIA

This year’s Victory Day celebrations in Moscow looked less like a standard show of military might and more like a summit of the unbowed, bringing together leaders from Africa, Asia and the Americas, signalling that the age of a one‑pole world is fading.

Burkina Faso President Ibrahim Traoré and Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, who expressed admiration for the Pan-Africanist revolution taking place in Burkina Faso, whose name means ‘the land of upright [people].’ Both men recognised the role of the West in subjugating the Global South. Maduro has faced several regime change attempts, such as through the West backing US-linked Venezuelan right-wing interventionist Juan Guaidó.

On the other hand, Burkina Faso’s government has confirmed seven coup attempts since Traoré took power following a successful people-backed coup d’état. Both Maduro and Traoré have pursued pro-people policies. For instance, Maduro has championed social spending and initiatives like constructing homes for low-income families. In Burkina Faso, Traoré is building factories and gold processing facilities and modernising agriculture. Plus, Burkina Faso is building the all-too-important anti-imperialist confederation of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) alongside Mali and Niger, a step toward continental unity

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 46 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (3 children)

Russia plans to launch intercontinental ballistic missile [RS-24 Yars, training and combat launch], Kyiv says - Reuters, May 18 2025

articleUkraine's military intelligence agency said on Sunday Russia planned to conduct a "training and combat" launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile to intimidate Ukraine and the West. The overnight launch was ordered to be implemented from Russia's Sverdlovsk region, the GUR agency said in a statement on the Telegram app. It added the flight range for the missile was more than 10,000 kilometers (6,200 miles).

"In order to demonstratively pressure and intimidate Ukraine, and also EU and NATO member states, the aggressor state of Russia intends to make a ‘training and combat’ launch of the RS-24 intercontinental ballistic missile from the Yars complex," GUR said in the statement.

There was no immediate comment from Russia on the Ukrainian military intelligence statement.

Russia does not answer questions about its plans to test launch nuclear missiles, the details of which it classifies as a military secret, although it issues statements after such launches.

More than three years into the war against Russia, Ukraine is under enormous pressure as Russia seeks frontline gains in the Ukrainian east, and diplomatic efforts to end the war have so far yielded no results.

Unsure if this will happen, but most "missile experts" expect similar with Russia's current line of strategic thought.

If current direction of Russian strategic thinking holds, Russia will not take this [European demand of unconditional 30 day ceasefire] and attempt to coerce NATO with kinetic displays.

Twitter source

Xcancel mirror

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[–] Ideology@hexbear.net 45 points 1 month ago (4 children)
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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 45 points 1 month ago (3 children)

U.S. Financial Threat Against China’s Belt and Road Initiative Projects in Latin America - Telesur English

Article

The United States launches a financial offensive to block international funding for Chinese projects in Latin America, responding to growing cooperation between countries like Colombia and China under the Belt and Road Initiative.

The U.S. administration, led by Donald Trump, has issued a direct threat to the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) and other international financial institutions, urging them not to grant subsidies to projects developed by Chinese companies in Latin America. This move comes immediately after Colombia and China signed a strategic plan to strengthen the Belt and Road Initiative, a program aimed at boosting integration and economic development in the region.

Washington’s warning is not limited to Colombia but extends across Latin America and the Caribbean, where the Belt and Road Initiative has projects underway. The U.S. Office of Western Hemisphere Affairs declared that American taxpayers’ funds must not be used to subsidize Chinese companies, arguing that these projects “endanger regional security.”

This stance reflects an attempt to curb China’s growing economic and strategic influence in the hemisphere, at a time when Latin American countries seek to diversify their alliances and sources of investment.

Latin America’s Response and Challenge to U.S. Hegemony

Progressive governments such as Gustavo Petro’s in Colombia and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s in Brazil have committed to strengthening ties with China, securing multi-billion-dollar agreements for infrastructure and trade that challenge the historic economic and political domination of the United States in the region.

For example, Colombia secured $5.2 billion for its metro system, and Brazil finalized $94 billion in key sector agreements. However, these advances face threats of sanctions, audits, and U.S. commercial pressures aimed at preserving its hegemony and preventing the formation of an autonomous, multipolar Latin American bloc.

The U.S. offensive fits within a containment strategy that revives the Monroe Doctrine in a modern key, using financial and commercial tools to limit the sovereign development of Latin American countries. Latin America’s dependence on U.S. markets and technologies, alongside fears of “debt traps” and covert militarization of Chinese infrastructure, are elements Washington uses to justify its intervention.

However, this policy disregards the legitimate aspirations of Latin American peoples for independent and solidarity-based development rooted in South-South cooperation and regional integration.

This context highlights the geopolitical struggle Latin America faces between maintaining sovereignty and development autonomy in the face of U.S. pressure aimed at blocking strategic Chinese projects that could transform the continent’s economic and political landscape.

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[–] dead@hexbear.net 44 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Trump says he'll meet with Putin as soon as possible to discuss an end to the Russia-Ukraine war. RapidResponse47 is a US government twitter account.

https://xcancel.com/RapidResponse47/status/1923288021366980994

[–] miz@hexbear.net 44 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Scott Bessent is either a complete dipshit or a deep cover agent bent on destruction of the USA

Bessent Signals Dire Currency Deals For Exporters As U.S. Bonds Plunge To Severe Levels | Sean Foo

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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 43 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (3 children)

mysterious decoupling of crypto/gold/yields continues, while gold dropped like a stone in two weeks (by 10% to like 3200 from 3500, probably caused by india), crypto as a whole appreciated by 10% (to 3.4e12, together with dow, to be fair), dxy also rose (only by 4%), oil bounces around 65, so not danger zone to fracking. so we can assume people believe in usa economy once again sicko-wistful with notable exception of bond traders (still at 4.9 yields), long may they reign. * ah also atlanta super gdp-prediction tool switched back to growth, as i've warned about

now to real news: #beanwatch beanis is still in nothing ever happens zone, coffee/cocoa/soy are all in the same place as they were (370/10000/1050), cocoa and coffee still unusually expensive tho (2000/150 two years before).

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 43 points 1 month ago

India denies Trump's involvement in de-escalation with Pakistan - Prensa Latina

Article

Foreign Ministry sources said there was no reference to trade in talks between U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance and Prime Minister Narendra Modi on May 9.

They said there was also no reference to trade in talks after the launch of Operation Sindoor between U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Foreign Minister Subrahmanyan Jaishankar on May 8 and 10 and National Security Advisor Ajit Doval on May 10.

On Saturday, India and Pakistan agreed to halt all firing and military actions on land, air and sea in talks between the director generals of military operations.

A statement from the Indian foreign secretary confirmed that the decision was taken after a phone call from the Pakistani side and instructions were given to give effect to the agreement.

In talks the previous day, in a second discussion between the military chiefs, issues related to the continuity of the commitment of both sides not to fire or initiate any aggressive or hostile action against each other were discussed.

According to diplomatic sources in New Delhi, it was also agreed that both sides would consider immediate measures to ensure troop reductions at borders and forward areas.

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