this post was submitted on 06 May 2025
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NonCredibleDefense
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Ukraine wasn't going to join NATO before the war, even after losing the Crimean peninsula.
Ukraine needs security guarantees because they have been invaded twice in a generation. What non-NATO guarantee is going to be acceptable to Ukraine?
That's the biggest fuck up off it all. Just holding Crimea was enough for it to be impossible for Ukraine to join NATO, as there may be no disputed territories and they would have never given it up formally.
Putin should've backed out and regrouped a lot better and more carefully after his full scale invasion failed miserably. It's been a nonsense keep going out of principle war for years now and the biggest loser is Russia (it's hard to even calculate the impact of a lost generation of young men + loss of influence world wide because of how crappy weapons systems turn out to be in real war instead of demonstrations.
Meanwhile there's an enormous diaspora of Ukrainians growing in many western European countries now and they became de facto part of the club a lot stronger and faster than anyone could have ever imagined before 2022.