this post was submitted on 04 May 2025
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@Zagorath @Hotstillnasty I think the issue in Melbourne was also caused by the electoral boundaries changing, and some significant booths with very different political leanings changed electorates.
You'd hope redistribution was considered in the calculation of leading candidates, but it's a little opaque?
On top of this, the swings at some booths were wild - with the greens dropping from 64% of primary vote to approx 40% of primary vote in my local booth - something the AEC can't take into account when planning.