this post was submitted on 21 Mar 2025
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China gets Taiwan. The US isn't starting a nuclear war over some small island off China's coast with the remnants of China's former government. IIRC Taiwan denuclearized already some decades ago at the behest of the US, but I think China would greatly prefer a voluntary reunification, and IIRC that's what it's on the way to politically with the Taiwanese parliament.
Of course the US security state will hand wring over "Chinese/Communist Imperialism" (lol the fucking gall), and maybe use it to stir up jingoism at home for whatever war they want and have some meager chance at winning (Iran maybe?) if they waste enough lumpen lives on it and will also take the opportunity to drive down proletariat material conditions under its guise because they can't realistically maintain the conditions they've had while maintaining bourgeois gains without more empire.
Do you think that there's a chance there could be a small guerilla movement supported by the US in Taiwan if China takes over
Maybe. It's definitely something the US has a history of, but is Taiwan's current state even popular enough to support that kind of movement?