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The EU does not tend to wage wars with protective tariffs, those are already in place anyway, but by specifically hurting the interests (monetary, pissed-off voting base, etc) of those in charge. It's how the last time around we ended up with tariffs on motorcycles and peanuts, last I checked Harley-Davidson still didn't recover and the peanut butter in my next-door supermarket is still Dutch. With all kinds of stars and stripes and bald eagles on it, though.
Look where influential senators have their districts, have a look at their economy, that's what's going to get targeted. In Musk's case they can just target him directly.