this post was submitted on 23 Jul 2023
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[–] ikidd@lemmy.world 53 points 2 years ago (1 children)

I guess if you include the territory that was very briefly held when Russia was making a push into Kyev, that's true, but the lines in the East have held pretty steady since the early days of the war.

Short of bringing US-style air superiority to play there, I can't see that they'll gain much in the near term.

[–] ForgetReddit@lemmy.world 3 points 2 years ago (2 children)

I think the play needs to be a stalemate/slow advance until Putin dies. His successor will either accelerate or withdraw imo. Can’t bleed resources like that forever and remain in power, Putin is grandfathered in but the new guy won’t be. Unfortunately Putin could die tomorrow or in ten years. Hopefully it’s sooner than later.

[–] yogthos@lemmy.ml 4 points 2 years ago

Out of curiosity, what exactly are you expecting to happen when Putin dies exactly? Do you realize that Putin is basically a moderate in Russia at this point. You think somebody like Kadyrov or Medvedev is going to have a more moderate policy?