this post was submitted on 15 Jan 2024
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Image is of legal adviser to Israel's foreign ministry Tal Becker and British jurist Malcolm Shaw at the ICJ hearing.


The ICJ case against Israel might not achieve much for the Palestinian cause directly, given that Israeli politicians have explicitly stated that the Hague will not stop them - and I believe them. The Resistance will be what stops them, and they are doing quite well for themselves. Hezbollah has hit highly sensitive and important Israeli military sites over the last couple weeks, and in general persist in several border attacks every day. The battles in Iraq and Syria also continue. Hamas remains largely intact, and is successfully forcing Israeli forces in the northern Gaza Strip to retreat, and other parts of the Gazan Resistance are continuing to battle down in Khan Yunis. And, last but not least, Yemen is firmly dedicated to the blockade, warding off another ship literally minutes before I started writing this paragraph.

What the ICJ is battling over isn't Palestine and Israel - not really - but the legitimacy of international law itself, and to what degree victimized countries can rely on it to solve problems, versus needing to take more militant routes for justice. In a weird sense, it might be an L for Israel either way. If international law sides with Palestine, then when Israel refuses to stop, it will invalidate international law. If international law sides with Israel, then it will invalidate international law. There is no conceivable way for the West to come out of this looking good.

The South African portion detailing Israeli atrocities against Gaza was largely ignored by the western media. They have instead, obviously, decided to focus on the Israeli portion. Their defense appears to amount to "We didn't do it, Hamas did it. And if we did do it, it doesn't matter, because that's just urban warfare for you. Please get this whole thing thrown out on a very dubious technicality so we don't have to advance to the next stage."

From Craig Murray, who has been physically going to the Hague:

It is important to realise this. Israel is hoping to win on their procedural points about existence of dispute, unilateral assurances and jurisdiction. The obvious nonsense they spoke about the damage to homes and infrastructure being caused by Hamas, trucks entering Gaza and casualty figures, was not serious. They did not expect the judges to believe any of this. The procedural points were for the court. The rest was mass propaganda for the media.

...I am sure the judges want to get out of this and they may go for the procedural points. But there is a real problem with Israel’s “no dispute” argument. If accepted, it would mean that a country committing genocide can simply not reply to a challenge, and then legal action will not be possible because no reply means “no dispute”. I hope that absurdity is obvious to the judges. But they may of course wish not to notice it…

What do I think will happen? Some sort of “compromise”. The judges will issue provisional measures different to South Africa’s request, asking Israel to continue to take measures to protect the civilian population, or some such guff. Doubtless the State Department have drafted something like this for President of the court Donoghoe already.

I hope I am wrong. I would hate to give up on international law. One thing I do know for certain. These two days in the Hague were absolutely crucial for deciding if there is any meaning left in notions of international law and human rights. I still believe action by the court could cause the US and UK to back off and provide some measure of relief. For now, let us all pray or wish, each in our way, for the children of Gaza.


The weekly update is here on the website.


The Country of the Week is South Africa! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 33 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Ancap Update: ancaptain

The Argentine Chamber of Appeals for Labor Claims denied an appeal by the government of Javier Milei, in which the government sought to reverse the preliminary injunction granted by the 1st instance in favor of the CGT, which suspended the Labor Reform, via DNU.

According to the court, the measure was rejected due to errors in the request.

The government has two more days, i.e. until January 18th, to resubmit the appeal.

The government intends for this case to reach the Supreme Court, but if it doesn't file a new appeal, this won't happen, according to Argentina's procedural rules.

Link (Spanish Only)

Translation: DUE TO AN ERROR, THE TRANSFER OF THE CGT'S PRECAUTIONARY MEASURE WAS SUSPENDED.

The National Chamber of Labor Appeals yesterday suspended the Government's appeal to the injunction filed by the CGT to stop the labor reform of President Javier Milei's DNU. The Government had requested the transfer of the extraordinary appeal. The suspension was due to an error in the filing.

Why it matters:

It is a stop to the Executive's attempt for the appeal to reach the Supreme Court.

In detail:

Under the writ 56862/2023 entitled "Incidente N°1 - Actor: Confederación General del Trabajo de la República Argentina Demandado: Poder Ejecutivo Nacional s/incidente", the Chamber remarked that the Government "did not submit the appropriate instruments to prove the representation it claims to have" and "it did not invoke any impossibility to submit them" and therefore the appeal was "without effect".

But the government still has time until the 18th to file a new appeal before the Court of Appeals.

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[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 33 points 1 year ago (2 children)

An interesting trend in Central American politics are the victors of recent elections being outsiders with an anti-establishment theme. Some of them more left-leaning and others more right-wing. Bukele was considered an outsider and so was Castro in Honduras, along with Arevalo in Guatemala. Even Costa Rica took a right-wing turn with the anti-abortion/vaccine/lgbt Chaves.

Trump could see a similar result if he continues to position himself as an anti-establishment candidate that the power structures want to take down.

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[–] happyandhappy@hexbear.net 33 points 1 year ago (2 children)

could somebody recommend me some good resources on the arab spring

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 33 points 1 year ago

Guatemala: Arevalo Was Sworn in as President After Coup Failure

His inauguration was at risk due to coup maneuvers by the Attorney General's Office and right-wing legislators.

In the early hours of Monday, Guatemala's President Bernardo Arevalo was finally sworn in after a day filled with incidents and several months of uncertainty.

During this time, Attorney General Consuelo Porras tried to prevent his ascent to power. The inauguration was initially scheduled for Sunday afternoon but was delayed by more than 10 hours, causing several heads of state to leave Guatemala without witnessing the ceremony.

Arevalo, a 65-year-old academic symbolizing the fight against corruption, took office at the end of a day in which the power transfer was at risk due to significant delays in routine legal procedures by the outgoing Congress.

This delay was intended as a "coup," as Arevalo had warned on Sept. 1, accusing Porras of attempting to prevent his inauguration. Arevalo won the 2023 presidential elections with the Seed Movement, a progressive party born out of the 2015 anti-corruption protests.

The outgoing President Alejandro Giammattei did not personally attend the National Theater for the handover ceremony and sent institutional symbols through his secretary.

Vice President Guillermo Castillo, however, did attend the ceremony and handed over his position to the biologist Karin Herrera.

"Faced with the risk of reaching midnight without starting the protocolary acts, at this moment, I handed over the symbols of the Presidency to the Congress," said Giammattei.

He submitted his final report on Friday, despite the tradition for outgoing presidents to attend the congress on January 14 for the transition. This practice had been upheld since the country's return to democracy in 1982.

Samuel Perez, a 31-year-old legislator from the Seed Movement, was elected president of the Congress, after reaching agreements with various parties and securing 90 votes. His election was a surprise since the Seed Movement only has 23 out of 160 legislators.

[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 33 points 1 year ago
[–] plinky@hexbear.net 32 points 1 year ago
[–] Harajukum@hexbear.net 32 points 1 year ago

this website is absolutely not loading on mobile

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 32 points 1 year ago

The opposition bloc in Guatemala has withdrawn its candidacy for the board of directors at the congress.

As a result, the only list to run will be that of the allies of the country's President, Bernardo Arévalo. Nery Ramos is the new president of the Guatemalan Congress.

He, who belongs to the Blue Party, was elected with the support of the ruling members of Congress and allies of Bernardo Arévalo, the country's president, with 115 votes out of 159.

[–] italktothewind@hexbear.net 32 points 1 year ago (7 children)

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-strike-damascus-kills-iranian-guards-official-source-regional-pro-syria-2024-01-20/

Israeli strike on Damascus kills four Iranian Revolutionary Guards

Iran and co continuing to allow themselves to be humiliated

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