Its a solution in search of a problem.
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Zorbo
You are fucking sexy and I love you
Somebody else already said what I would have, so I will simply say Zorbo
<3
It's the ultimate justification for cutting jobs and making the remaining workers take on the work of multiple people with the "help" of AI even though it's not reliable at all.
I have been using Perplexity lately as a glorified search engine and it's way better than Google but Vibe Coding is ass.
To be fair, being better than Google these days is a low bar
It is legitimately useful to me but I’m a many hats tech zorbo who’s constantly hopping from one little project to the next. It’s not exactly their dream though in that it at best supplements my work instead of replacing it, and I’m not sure you could ever trust it to do the latter with all the hallucinations and whatnot.
As to the capitalists at large? I see it mostly like internet bubble 2.0. They’re throwing money at anyone with a pulse who happens to mention AI, and the vast majority of it is either too dumb to ever make sense or extremely premature. But, at the same time I can’t see the tech going away.
The thing is I don't know if I would count on them sticking around. The cost to train and run them is staggering, there is a reason they're talking about designing data centers that contain nuclear reactors and steal a town's water.
Maybe inference will become cheaper, maybe not enough. Certainly no evidence currently shows that smaller distils have anywhere near the function of larger models.
Also we can't trust any newly produced data for training. It's a low background steel sitch now.
The cost for training is immense but the cost for a basic query is something like a search. They are trying to build out far more of these shitty data centers in a fruitless pursuit of AGI using this shit though.
And these are the guys that claim they’re going to bring you AGI
immense but the cost for a basic query is something like a search
Actually trying to source the real amounts is impossible, I can't find anything that isn't a company person making vague sounds. I would tend towards they are lying, and inference is quite high.
Certainly it's very slow and power hungry on stripped down models on home hardware. And they don't even have any of the extra layers for e.g. doing maths in Python.
Also if you want to keep info current you have to be constantly ingesting new news/academic work/internet discussion.
zorbino's quest
maybe the answer to the government question is:
the state exists to enforce class relations in favor of the class in power
the class in power is sitting on a speculative bomb with no way to dump off the metaphorical heat theyre generating and very little use in the actual commercial and consumer space
states are forced to (either/both by direct influence from capitalists or from imperialist states) "buy off" the software to prevent the explosion of this speculative bubble that everyone knows is incoming - and if they can actually find a use for it, maybe it won't be as bad?
I'm not sure. There are a lot of good answers in this thread. I feel like there are parallels with the '08 crisis. But it doesn't answer everything. I keep thinking "induced demand". Zorbo
Sunken cost fallacy
Seems like a normal economic bubble from what my studies and talk with older folks indicates (a bit too young to properly remember one in entirety in all truthfulness).
Investor hype