this post was submitted on 07 Jul 2025
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Image is of the Power of Siberia natural gas pipeline, which transports gas from Russia to China. This isn't an oil pipeline (such as the ESPO) but I thought it looked cool. Source here.


Trump has recently proposed a 500% tariff on goods from countries that trade with Russia, including India and China (who buy ~70% of Russia's oil output), as well as a 10% additional tariff on goods from countries that "align themselves with BRICS." Considering that China is the largest trading partner of most of the countries on the planet at this point, and India and Brazil are reasonably strong regional players, I'm not sure what exactly "alignment" means, but it could be pretty bad.

Sanctions and tariffs on Russian products have been difficult to achieve in practice. It's easy to write an order to sanction Russia, but much harder to actually enforce these sorts of things because of, for example, the Russian shadow oil fleet, or countries like Kazakhstan acting as covert middlemen (well, as covert as a very sudden oil export boom can be).

Considering that China was pretty soundly victorious last time around, I'm cautiously optimistic, especially because China and India just outright cutting off their supply of energy and fuel would be catastrophic to them (and if Iran and Israel go to war again any time in the near future, it'll only be more disastrous). Barring China and India kowtowing to Trump and copying Europe vis-a-vis Nordstream 2 (which isn't impossible, I suppose), the question is whether China and India will appear to accede to these commands while secretly continuing trade with Russia through middlemen, or if they will be more defiant in the face of American pressure.


Last week's thread is here.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 55 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago) (2 children)

The latest ship likely attacked by Ansarallah/Houthis in Yemen as part of the naval blockade is the Eternity C, a Liberian flagged bulk carrier, operated by Cosmoship, a company headquartered in Greece. It was on route to Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. This is the second Liberian flagged, Greek owned vessel attacked, following the attack on the "Magic Seas" yesterday.

Current reporting states that unmanned surface vessels (likely rigged with explosives) and one way attack drones were used during the attack, and that there was a direct hit to the bridge, making updates and communication difficult. Two crew members were injured and two are missing as a result.

[–] la_tasalana_intissari_mata@hexbear.net 60 points 22 hours ago (3 children)

sounds like you're feeding ships to the yemenis

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 38 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago)

Greek owned, Liberian flagged bulk carriers appear to be the food of choice. Coincidence?

[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 27 points 21 hours ago* (last edited 21 hours ago)

I mean if somebody still gives them Insurance (political Pressure can do that ) , and your a big Greek Reeder , why wouldnt you send .. like 1 gram of rice ... to port eliat and Display "Armed guards on Bord" as you direction .. "Brandsanierung"

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[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 57 points 22 hours ago (4 children)

China's BYD to start assembling electric cars in Brazil Reuters

  • Chinese electric vehicle maker ready to open Bahia factory
  • BYD eyes Brazilian assembly of some 50,000 cars in 2025
  • Executive says labor lawsuit will not derail factory timeline

SAO PAULO, July 7 (Reuters) - China's BYD (002594.SZ), opens new tab is poised to start assembling electric vehicles at a new factory in Brazil as early as this month, a top executive said, reducing imports as tariffs start to rise in its largest foreign market.

Alexandre Baldy, senior vice president for BYD in Brazil, said the goal is to assemble 50,000 cars this year at the plant in Bahia state from imported kits, adding that he is negotiating a lower tax rate on those vehicles.

"We should inaugurate in the coming days," Baldy said in an interview late on Friday, without specifying a date, as final regulatory approvals are still pending. "We've already completed this year's imports, taking advantage of the period before the import tax increase that took effect on July 1."

BYD had sent a surge of finished cars into Brazil this year to take advantage of temporarily lower tariffs, shipping some 22,000 from China in the first five months, according to Reuters calculations.

That stirred complaints in Brazil's auto industry that BYD was privileging Chinese manufacturing over production from Bahia, where a labor probe and heavy rains have disrupted plans. A state labor secretary said in May that the plant would only be "fully functional" at the end of 2026.

However, Baldy said it would begin full production in July 2026, after assembling vehicles from "complete knock down" (CKD) kits for the next 12 months.

Once fully operational, he said, the complex in Camacari is likely to generate up to 20,000 direct and indirect jobs. Expectations for the operation, on the site of a former Ford plant taken over in 2023, suffered in December when labor inspectors leveled accusations of labor abuses involving Chinese contractors hired to build the complex. Brazilian prosecutors filed a lawsuit in May holding BYD responsible for human trafficking and submitting workers to "slavery-like conditions," after talks on a settlement fell through.

"BYD has always sought to respect Brazilian law and human dignity in all operations," Baldy said, adding that the company wanted to reach a resolution. He did not say why efforts to negotiate a settlement had fallen through.

All it took was for China to halt Brazilian beef import for Brazil to cave. Amazing. Brazil has less leverage than it thinks it has.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 33 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago) (2 children)

Alexandre Baldy, senior vice president for BYD in Brazil, said the goal is to assemble 50,000 cars this year at the plant in Bahia state from imported kits, adding that he is negotiating a lower tax rate on those vehicles.

So the cars aren't even being manufactured in Brazil itself, just the final assembly of already made parts...

[–] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 15 points 18 hours ago

Same as in Burkina Faso. Im sure BYD benefits from cheaper transport of materiel (easier to ship a car thats flat-packed) and you also train up a bunch of local expertise in maintaining the finished cars by virtue of assembling them.

Now you've got a cheaper way to ship your vehicles internationally AND rapidly develop mechnical knowledge for your brand as it breaks out into a new market.

[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 29 points 21 hours ago* (last edited 21 hours ago) (2 children)

This is quite common. In the 1980s, a few Southeast Asian countries like Malaysia had hoped to receive some technology transfer by giving massive tax breaks to multinational semiconductor companies (Intel, AMD, Hitachi etc.), but mostly they ended up doing the finishing packaging, assembly and testing work for foreign corporations to sell to their export markets. The core technologies are usually kept protected.

China can of course choose to democratize the technology by sharing them with the developing countries, but that would end up killing their own private companies that needs to survive on the market economy.

[–] RedSailsFan@hexbear.net 13 points 17 hours ago

China can of course choose to democratize the technology by sharing them with the developing countries, but that would end up killing their own private companies that needs to survive on the market economy.

on my hands and knees begging the CPC to hit the communism button

[–] WashedAnus@hexbear.net 20 points 21 hours ago

Today, countries like Malaysia produce last generation's chips with last generation's production tools.

[–] Lemmygradwontallowme@hexbear.net 30 points 22 hours ago (1 children)

All it took was for China to halt Brazilian beef import for Brazil to cave. Amazing. Brazil has less leverage than it thinks it has.

I guess China knows a little more about balance of payments leverage and dependence.

[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 28 points 21 hours ago

As they say, if you borrow a bit from a bank, the bank owns you. If you borrow a lot from a bank, you own the bank.

Similarly, if you import a bit from an exporting country, the country owns you. If you import a lot from that country, you own their economy.

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[–] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 64 points 23 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago) (10 children)

Since chuds (and Zionist libs) have absolutely nothing better to do than desperately sifting through old Zohran tweets to find something they can make stick, they now found a tweet of him saying:

Each according to their need, each according to their ability

https://xcancel.com/ZohranKMamdani/status/1265738795317673988

Which, as usual, has led to lots of angry seething replies calling him a dIrTy CoMmUnIsT. frothingfash

It's not just random twitter nerds, because even Democrat politicians have joined the chuds in trying to dig up dirt. Eric Adams, which some Democrats are trying to rally behind for the general, posted about it: https://x.com/ericadamsfornyc/status/1942289955478233475

[–] Kieselguhr@hexbear.net 52 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

Each according to their need, each according to their ability

wow that sounds horrible I don't know how someone could say such a horrid thing

[–] Hexamerous@hexbear.net 62 points 23 hours ago

"I think we should improve society somewhat." - Zohran the Destroyer

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 23 hours ago

lula-bars : "The defense of democracy in Brazil is a matter for Brazilians. We are a sovereign country. We do not accept interference or tutelage from anyone. We have solid and independent institutions. No one is above the law. Especially those who attack freedom and the rule of law."

[–] john_brown@hexbear.net 68 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (6 children)

Another one:

Active shooter killed in attempt to ambush Border Patrol agents in Texas

An active shooter armed with tactical gear and a rifle opened fire upon Border Patrol agents as they arrived at a Border Patrol annex facility in McAllen, Texas, in the Rio Grande Valley on Monday, law enforcement sources say.

Agents and local police returned fire and killed the gunman. No federal agents were hit, but one McAllen police officer was struck. Law enforcement sources say the officer is in stable condition.

Weird shit happening, can't really believe these stenographer's reports of what law enforcement claims but I haven't seen any other information about this one or the other ICE shooting in Texas.

[–] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 31 points 23 hours ago (2 children)

I wouldnt be surprised if you get a few adventurists on the left against these evil fuckers. Not that I think its a smart tactic, but I cannot condemn it either if that was the case.

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[–] Sleve_McDichael@hexbear.net 38 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

Seems odd to me that they’re not using these acts as an excuse to further ratchet up violence against immigrants. I agree that we’re likely not getting the full picture

[–] someone@hexbear.net 31 points 22 hours ago (3 children)

I'm assuming that it's chuds doing the shootings, and the chuds-in-power are worried that if they publicize prosecutions their base will turn on them. If any shooters were even the slightest bit left-leaning, American authorities and media would be figuratively shouting it from every metaphorical rooftop.

[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 17 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

Ruby Ridge and Waco still haunt the feds.

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[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 62 points 1 day ago (2 children)
[–] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 49 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

love too bomb a city to dust then declare my intention to build a city on top. i will call it a humanitarian city

[–] Hexamerous@hexbear.net 27 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago)

It's not a concentration camp. It's a ~~reservation, internment camp, strategic hamlet~~ "densefication zone", sweety.

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[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 60 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Trump's 90-day delay of tariffs on basically every country except China expires in two days. It looks like Trump is already issuing some kind of letters to delay tariffs yet again. Not yet clear how exactly this will look, maybe just another blanket extension. We will see soon.

Meanwhile;

Trump announces a 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea

[–] Coolkidbozzy@hexbear.net 46 points 1 day ago (1 children)

make supply chains crash again 🇺🇸

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[–] joaomarrom@hexbear.net 64 points 1 day ago (3 children)

Trump has recently proposed a 500% tariff on goods from countries that trade with Russia, including India and China (who buy ~70% of Russia's oil output), as well as a 10% additional tariff on goods from countries that "align themselves with BRICS.

this shit again

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[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 42 points 1 day ago (5 children)

Watching Justin Podur’s sit rep from July 5 with Laith Marouf. Laith is clearly a guy who “knows things” and talks to people on the ground in Lebanon and Syria.

According to Laith, it seems like much of the “quiet” we have seen from Hezbollah in recent months is due to them preparing for an invasion both from Syria and Israel. This would seem to track at least to me in why they didn’t get involved when Iran was attacking Israel. Hezbollah is fundamentally a defensive force, and their primary objective is to keep the Israelis (or others) out of Lebanon. It’s not just their mission, it’s how their capabilities were designed.

For what it’s worth, Laith is also very bullish on how Hezbollah would handle an invasion.

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