this post was submitted on 07 Jul 2025
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Image is of the Power of Siberia natural gas pipeline, which transports gas from Russia to China. This isn't an oil pipeline (such as the ESPO) but I thought it looked cool. Source here.


Trump has recently proposed a 500% tariff on goods from countries that trade with Russia, including India and China (who buy ~70% of Russia's oil output), as well as a 10% additional tariff on goods from countries that "align themselves with BRICS." Considering that China is the largest trading partner of most of the countries on the planet at this point, and India and Brazil are reasonably strong regional players, I'm not sure what exactly "alignment" means, but it could be pretty bad.

Sanctions and tariffs on Russian products have been difficult to achieve in practice. It's easy to write an order to sanction Russia, but much harder to actually enforce these sorts of things because of, for example, the Russian shadow oil fleet, or countries like Kazakhstan acting as covert middlemen (well, as covert as a very sudden oil export boom can be).

Considering that China was pretty soundly victorious last time around, I'm cautiously optimistic, especially because China and India just outright cutting off their supply of energy and fuel would be catastrophic to them (and if Iran and Israel go to war again any time in the near future, it'll only be more disastrous). Barring China and India kowtowing to Trump and copying Europe vis-a-vis Nordstream 2 (which isn't impossible, I suppose), the question is whether China and India will appear to accede to these commands while secretly continuing trade with Russia through middlemen, or if they will be more defiant in the face of American pressure.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] gay_king_prince_charles@hexbear.net 43 points 6 days ago (3 children)
[–] KnilAdlez@hexbear.net 25 points 6 days ago (7 children)

They basically have a monopoly on the AI gpgpu market. It may as well be an infinite valuation, all measures of value are meaningless at this point.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 23 points 6 days ago

Concern in Costa Rica over visa withdrawal for legislative leader - Prensa Latina

Article

San José, Jul 10 (Prensa Latina) The revocation by the United States of the tourist visa of the president of the Legislative Assembly, Rodrigo Arias, is having a great impact on Costa Rican society.

The decision transmitted the day before by Washington, which also implied the cancellation of the document of Constitutional Court judge Paul Rueda, was confirmed by the press office of the Constitutional Court, according to the newspaper Delfino.cr.

Arias, for his part, admitted in a statement that the U.S. decision to withdraw his tourist visa generated “a deep surprise”, and said he did not know “any objective reason that merits it, since all my life I have had a friendly and respectful relationship with the United States”.

The legislative authority set 14:59 (local time) as the time when he was notified by the Embassy in Washington about the cancellation, and expressed his confidence “in getting to know the reasons for this decision, for me incomprehensible”.

The President of the country, Rodrigo Chaves, on his part, described in a press conference as “shameful” that the leader of the Congress and the Vice President, Vanessa Castro, are prevented from entering the northern country.

The new visa revocation extends the list of high-ranking local officials who have been deprived of that right by the United States during the current administration of President Donald Trump, including the brother of the leader of Congress, former President Oscar Arias, Nobel Peace Prize winner.

The legislative leader is also the fifth Tico deputy to be banned from entering the United States, after Francisco Nicolás Alvarado, Vanessa de Paul Castro, Johana Obando and Cynthia Córdoba, although that right was also invalidated to legislator José Pablo Sibaja, but without a visa.

Others affected by the measure are the auditor of the Costa Rican Electricity Institute (ICE) Ana Sofía Machuca; the Telecommunications manager of that entity, Luis Diego Abarca; and the former managers Carlos Luis Mecutchen and Jaime Palermo.

Also from that energy agency were affected the head of the Development and Construction Division of the Network, Douglas Eduardo; and the president of the union Internal Front of ICE Workers, Carlos Stradi.

According to Delfino.cr, the U.S. embassy and the Department have so far refrained from offering details on the reasons for the above mentioned revocations, although the official position of that country regarding the omission of individual explanations in these cases is well known.

The news about the visa cancellations on Wednesday arrived when the legislature began the plenary session of the day in Congress, headed by its president, who left the premises after delegating Vice President Vanessa de Paul Castro to lead the debate.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 41 points 6 days ago (2 children)

According to Al-Mayadeen, Syrian President Ahmad Al-Sharaa (formerly Abu Muhammad Al-Jolani) has accepted to give up the Golan Heights in exchange for normalization with Israel. Additionally, as part of the normalization agreement, buffer zones will be established in Southern Syria, including in Al-Quneitra, As-Suwayda, and Daraa.

Within these zones, all heavy weapons and equipment belonging to the HTS-led Syrian Army will be evacuated, and Syrian Army and Police units stationed in these regions will only be permitted to carry light weaponry. These demands were conveyed by Israel during confidential meeting with Syria in the past few weeks. A Syrian businessman, acting on behalf of President Al-Sharaa, reportedly came to the Knesset today and conveyed Syria's acceptance.

  • Telegram

Man agrees to give up house in exchange for also giving up car

[–] agentblaxploitation@hexbear.net 35 points 6 days ago (5 children)

Sounds like complete capitulation to me...what does Syria get in exchange for this deal? Israel pinky-promising not to continue bombing Syria, unless they feel like it?

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 31 points 6 days ago

The Syrian State and People get nothing from this, they lose their sovereignty and freedom. Meanwhile the Syrian Elite gets to enjoy privileges the West and Isreal will give to them for selling Syria to the West.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 37 points 6 days ago

Brazil and India have signed an agreement to cooperate in the fight against terrorism, organized crime, trafficking, cybercrime and money laundering. There will be an exchange of information, joint operations and training, with a focus on sovereignty and mutual protection. The energy ministries signed a memorandum to advance clean technologies such as solar, wind, green hydrogen and storage.

Research and workshops are planned to boost an inclusive and sovereign energy transition. An agreement was also signed for digital cooperation, with a focus on large-scale public platforms. Brazil will seek training, pilots and secure solutions with Indian support, reinforcing the role of the state in digital transformation.

  • Telegram
[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 33 points 6 days ago

Mexico Investigates Former President Peña Nieto Over Pegasus Spyware - Telesur English

Article

The Marker alleges that Peña Nieto received US$25 million in bribes to authorize the use of the Israeli spyware system. On Tuesday, Mexico’s Attorney General’s Office (FGR) announced the launch of an investigation into former President Enrique Peña Nieto, a conservative politician who led the country from 2012 to 2018.

The probe was triggered by a report published by the Israeli outlet The Marker, which alleged that Peña Nieto received US$25 million in bribes to authorize the use of the Israeli spyware system Pegasus on Mexican soil.

“We have already opened a case file, of course, and we will request from the Israeli authorities the information that was made public so we can formally incorporate it and move forward,” said FGR Director Alejandro Gertz.

During the administration of current President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (2018–2024), the FGR received several complaints regarding the Pegasus software, but these were not substantiated with sufficient evidence.

“What we are doing now is formally asking the Israeli government, through the international legal assistance system, for authorization so that these claims can be framed within a legal context and not fall into the same void as unsupported complaints,” Gertz added.

According to The Marker, the most high-profile deal negotiated by Pegasus sales agents was the sale of the spyware, developed by Israeli cyber-intelligence firm NSO Group, to several Mexican institutions. These included the Secretariat of National Defense (SEDENA), the now-defunct Attorney General’s Office (PGR), and the Center for Investigation and National Security (CISEN).

On Monday, Peña Nieto dismissed The Marker’s report as “false and malicious,” claiming he never held a position that made him responsible for authorizing such contracts. He also stated that Pegasus was not used for spying during his administration, but rather as a tool to “strengthen intelligence capabilities, create security conditions, and fight organized crime.”

In 2021, however, an international media investigation revealed that several countries used Pegasus to target 50,000 phones, including 15,000 in Mexico during Peña Nieto’s administration. The probe found that communications belonging to activists, journalists, then-opposition leader Lopez Obrador, and his aides were intercepted. The Israeli software was also used to monitor the families of the 43 students who disappeared in Ayotzinapa.

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 32 points 6 days ago (2 children)
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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 30 points 6 days ago

United States to Send More Weapons to Ukraine - Telesur English

Article

Washington is expected to send interceptors for Patriot systems, precision artillery shells, and air-to-surface missiles. On Monday, President Donald Trump said he will send more weapons to Ukraine to help the country defend itself against Russia, following a temporary pause in some shipments due to a routine review by the Pentagon.

“We have to send more weapons. We must do it so they can defend themselves. They’re being attacked very hard,” Trump told reporters during a dinner at the White House with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

The U.S. president specified that the weapons will be “mostly defensive.” He also expressed frustration with Russian President Vladimir Putin over his refusal to agree to a ceasefire and stop bombing Ukraine.

“I’m not at all happy with President Putin,” Trump said, echoing similar comments he made last week. “I stop wars, and I hate to see people dying,” the Republican president added.

Earlier Monday, the White House said the suspension of certain arms shipments to Ukraine, announced last week, is temporary and part of a routine review of the U.S. military assistance program for foreign allies. Among the weapons that Washington could send to Ukraine are interceptors for Patriot air defense systems, precision artillery shells, and air-to-surface missiles for U.S.-made F-16 fighter jets.

On Friday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced that, following a phone call with Trump, the two agreed to work together to strengthen Ukraine’s air defense capabilities. Ukraine hopes Trump’s pledge to unblock the weapons shipments will be implemented as soon as possible.

“Every day of delays raises the cost — for all of us,” said Economy Minister Yulia Svyrydenko, who is the Ukrainian official with the most direct contact with the Trump administration. She also called on NATO allies to help Ukraine build integrated air defense systems and boost joint arms production efforts.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 29 points 6 days ago

U.S. with obstacles to resolve Russian-Ukrainian conflict, warns Russia - Prensa Latina

Article

Moscow, Jul 9 (Prensa Latina) Russia's presidential spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, said today that his country had warned the United States from the beginning that it was impossible to resolve the Ukrainian conflict overnight.

With this statement the Kremlin spokesman reacted to the recent statements of US President Donald Trump, in which he admitted that the differences between Moscow and Kiev were more difficult to resolve than he expected.

In this context, the head of the Eurasian giant's Presidential Press Office asserted that his government is quite calm with the “hardening of rhetoric” against the Slavic nation by the White House tenant.

“Trump in general has a rather harsh style in the phrases he uses,” Peskov assured, commenting on the US leader's words in which he accused his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, of throwing “a lot of shit” at them.

However, the official expressed hope that Washington will continue efforts to resolve the differences between Moscow and Kiev through diplomatic channels.

“We also hope that despite all the decisions on the resumption of arms supplies and so on, although no one has actually stopped any supplies, but even despite this, we still hope that Trump and his team will continue efforts to bring the process of resolving the Ukrainian conflict to a political and diplomatic level,” he said.

On the other hand, Peskov asserted that Russia is waiting for a proposed date for the third round of negotiations from the Ukrainians.

This should interest Ukraine, because the situation on the ground changes on a daily basis. “We are moving forward every new day, the Ukrainian side will have to agree with the new realities,” the spokesman referred.

The day before, the US head of state expressed his disappointment with his Russian counterpart. "Putin throws a lot of shit at us. If you want to know the truth, he's very nice all the time, but it turns out he has no relevance," Trump indicated.

In this regard, he stated that he is “strongly” looking to introduce new sanctions against Moscow.

Along these lines, the spokeswoman for the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova, said on Wednesday that the stance demonstrated by the American dignitary exemplifies how they use unilateral measures as political pressure.

“This speech once again confirms that the United States continues to use economic-trade tools, whether illegitimate sanctions, tariffs, whatever, as an element of political pressure and hides behind the slogans of honest competition and national security,” the diplomat said.

The Foreign Ministry spokeswoman said that Washington's attitude demonstrates its destructive approach to the current architecture of international economic cooperation and violates the rules of the World Trade Organization.

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