this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] OttoboyEmpire@hexbear.net 82 points 4 days ago (4 children)

Haggie Haberman: "Allies of President Trump are already gearing up to turn Mamdani into a national figure to attack and tether to other Democrats ahead of the midterms."

LFG

[–] TheModerateTankie@hexbear.net 60 points 4 days ago

capitalist-laugh "This maniac want's to lower your rent!"

9 out of 10 democrats running for office: "We condemn this extremist who doesn't represent the national democratic party! His policies have nothing to do with us!"

9 out of 10 democrats after they lose their elections: "We lost because of that damn extremist! We must move to the right to appeal to centrists!"

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[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 105 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (2 children)

🇵🇸🇮🇷| Palestinian resistance groups have become stronger thanks to Iran’s attacks

In an article by Yedioth Ahronoth, it admits that Israeli forces have been weakened in the Gaza Strip and currently are on the defense rather than offense.

It says the Palestinian resistance are taking back momentum, especially in Khan Younis, as many Israeli brigades have been withdrawn from the Strip due to Iran’s attacks.

Gaza has regained strategic focus after Iran’s attacks, says the article.

@FotrosResistancee

This is why Iran can not give the entity status quo and peace. Peace is genocide

Do the libs in charge of foreign policy in Iran get it yet? Do they understand how demoralizing a ceasefire is to these brave soldiers?

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 69 points 4 days ago (1 children)

U.S. Special Envoy, Steve Witkoff: 'Even if Iran has already enriched uranium to 90% (weapons-grade), they cannot weaponize it because we destroyed the conversion facility at Esfahan — needed to 'convert' the material before enrichmemt and to 'metalicize' it after enrichment'

Witkoff clearly does not understand the nuclear weaponization process. Yes, the Esfahan site was being used to turn yellowcake into UF6 for enrichment. This 'first step' can now no longer be done, but it doesn't really matter, considering Iran already has ~400kg of 60% enriched uranium.

As for the last step in the weaponization process, which is turning the uranium hexafluoride (UF6) gas into uranium metal for use in a workable warhead, this process can quite easily be done in small covert laboratories and research sites, a dedicated facility is not needed, and Iran conducted many such tests in the early 2000's.

So, in short: As long as the centrifuges are intact (which seems to be the case), Iran can enrich its existing stockpile to 90% and create a warhead within months, provided that the blueprints of a weapon already exist.

  • Telegram
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[–] smokeppb@hexbear.net 74 points 4 days ago (7 children)
[–] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 66 points 4 days ago

Mamdani isn't even mayor yet! Such crybabies.

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[–] OttoboyEmpire@hexbear.net 82 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (12 children)

Socialism in One City update: ~~my Crossword subscription service, NYTimes, informs me that with ~~54pct~~ ~~62pct~~ ~~81pct~~ 90pct of votes counted into the first round, Zohran leads Cuomo 43 to 36. 🙏~~ 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 64 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

Article from 2019 that covers stealth aircraft and cruise missiles, the possibility of detecting them, the possible kill chain, the differing Russian reaction in academic and public spheres, covers the F-117 shootdown, China building and heavily investing in stealth technologies, etc

Quite long, but worth a read given the events over the past few weeks given how influential it has been. It's an extensive overview. At least China is doing the right thing and heavily investing in stealth technologies to counter the NATO/western advantage here, other nations should follow. The article is written by "pro NATO" analysts, so ignore the political commentary (which is thankfully minimal). But it is a good overview and summary from a factual perspective. Provides arguments, addresses the common counter arguments, etc.

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[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 32 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Link: https://pflp.ps/post/24560

🇵🇸 | Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) Statement on Iran’s Victory Against Zionist-American Aggression:

full textWe extend greetings of pride and honor to the Islamic Republic of Iran, its leadership, army, and people, for their legendary steadfastness in confronting the treacherous Zionist-American aggression. This confrontation marked a pivotal moment in the struggle of the region’s peoples against the system of global colonialism and imperialism.

We salute Iran’s martyrs among leaders, scientists, soldiers, journalists, and people. We commend the steadfastness and unity of the Iranian nation, which defeated the enemy’s bets on sedition and division, proving that a conscious internal front is one of the foundations of true deterrence.

Iran has demonstrated exceptional capability in managing a complex confrontation—politically, militarily, and technically—expressing complete national sovereignty. It responded with precision missiles and advanced drones striking sensitive centers deep within the Zionist entity, establishing a new deterrence equation and confirming the failure of the Zionist regime’s “deterrence prestige.” This calculated response was built on an advanced national intelligence and industrial structure, showcasing the strength of a mature state capable of protecting its decisions and position.

We see in this confrontation a strengthening of the deep alliance between resistance forces stretching from Tehran to Gaza, Beirut, Baghdad, and Sanaa. It confirms that the balance of power in the region can only be seized through steadfastness, resistance, and direct engagement—responding to aggression in kind.

The unprecedented Iranian response since 1948 in the heart of the Zionist entity has made the enemy taste some of the pain it has long inflicted upon our peoples in Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen, and Tehran.

This recent confrontation has proven that the Zionist enemy is no longer capable of waging wars independently. It has become entirely dependent on American and Western military, political, logistical, and diplomatic cover and support, revealing its structural fragility and lack of initiative.

We affirm that the Islamic Republic of Iran’s unwavering stance alongside the Palestinian cause and its valiant resistance is a principal reason behind this compound aggression. This principled, historical, and courageous position remains a source of respect and gratitude from our Palestinian people and resistance forces, as it stands firmly with justice and freedom.

Attempts to portray Iran as an enemy have collapsed before the truth: the real enemy of our nation is the Zionist occupation and the Western colonial system that plunders our peoples’ resources and supports the killers of children in Gaza, Lebanon, and Yemen. Iran’s natural position is in the trench of resistance, global liberation forces, and the peoples’ right to self-determination.

While Iran is condemned for possessing peaceful nuclear technology, the same states remain silent about the Zionist entity’s nuclear arsenal and continue supplying it with the latest killing tools—once again exposing international double standards and the biased international system that favors the killer at the expense of the victim.

We call upon the peoples and forces of our nation to treat Iran as a strategic partner in the region, not as a threat as falsely promoted by hostile Zionist and Western media.

We renew our commitment to the resistance option and stand alongside all who confront colonialism and occupation, foremost among them the Islamic Republic of Iran, believing that the blood that unites Gaza and Tehran can only lead to victory.

[–] glimmer_twin@hexbear.net 74 points 4 days ago (6 children)

So Israel will be resupplied with intercept missiles, return all focus to the genocide, and all of this will have been for nothing. Wonderful.

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