this post was submitted on 02 Jun 2025
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Image is sourced from this Economist article.

Most of the information in this preamble is from the Cradle; notably here, here, here, and here.


The features of an effective American war (proxy or otherwise) is that it is a) against opponents with much less military power than you; b) with very low American losses; c) with victories you can visibly show off from time to time to justify involvement, and d) with a profit margin beyond merely giving money to military corporations. The war against Yemen was none of those; airplanes tumbled off aircraft carriers, and the navy complained of the hardest fighting conditions in decades. Conquering Yemen for its resources was inconceivable given the terrain, lack of good intelligence, and the strength of Ansarallah, and all that seemed to be visibly harmed were empty patches of desert and civilians.

Apparently, the ceasefire last month merely stipulated that they stop attacking merchant vessels in the Red Sea; it said nothing about attacking Israel. Therefore, Yemen is absolutely free to create a new blockade of Israel by just striking their airports and seaports, and all Israel can seem to do is try and bomb them in retaliation, a futile strategy which has failed to produce a military or political change in Yemen for the last decade when many other countries have tried it. And if America directly attacks them in response to attacks on Israel, the ceasefire is off, and expensive equipment will continue to be lost.

Across the strait from Yemen is an interesting array of countries. Egypt's position in this war is well-known, and Somalia is under a kind of US occupation under the guise of fighting terrorism (Trump withdrew most troops, but they were then sent back under Biden). The other three are Sudan, Djibouti, and Eritrea. All three are increasingly being drawn into the anti-imperialist camp, as they cooperate with Iran, Russia, and/or China. Sudan is undergoing a civil war, but the rebels fighting the government are famously backed by the UAE. Djibouti has refused to allow themselves to be a launchpad for US strikes on Yemen.

Eritrea has a fascinating history of flip-flopping between West and East over the past few decades, but has, since 2020, sided with the East. It was one of the five countries to oppose the 2022 UN resolution condemning Russia's war with Ukraine. Eritrea sends two thirds of its exports to China, and Iran has reportedly supplied them with military equipment. If a stronger link could be reforged, then Iran would have significantly less trouble sending military technology to Ansarallah, and to other friendly groups throughout the region.

Naturally, the lidless eye of the imperial core is shifting its gaze onto Eritrea. Meanwhile, Ethiopia - a country that has experienced frequent conflict with Eritrea - is part of BRICS+ and their economy is increasingly reliant on China (as is most countries' economies nowadays). If a permanent resolution between the two could be created, it would be a victory for themselves and the Resistance, and a defeat for America, which thrives on conflict and destabilization.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 38 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Six Nobel Laureates Urge Senate to Reject Trump’s Tax and Budget Bill - Telesur

Article

Acemoglu, Diamond, Hart, Johnson, Krugman and Stiglitz warned of the proposal’s ‘misplaced priorities.’ On Monday, six Nobel Prize-winning economists urged the U.S. Senate to reject President Donald Trump’s proposed tax and budget legislation.

In an open letter, Daron Acemoglu, Peter Diamond, Oliver Hart, Simon Johnson, Paul Krugman and Joseph Stiglitz warned of the proposal’s “misplaced priorities,” saying it “significantly increases the debt” while “reducing income for the poorest 40%.”

“The most immediate and severe harm resulting from this bill would be felt by the millions of American families who would lose key safety net protections,” they wrote, referring specifically to cuts to Medicaid, Medicare and food assistance programs.

These cuts “represent a troubling step backward in the country’s commitment to ensuring access to health care for all,” the letter continued. It was published on the Economic Policy Institute’s website.

Dubbed the “big, beautiful bill,” the sweeping legislation narrowly passed the House of Representatives by a 215-214 vote. It now heads to the Senate, where it faces a difficult path to final approval, amid pressure from the White House to reach Trump’s desk before July 4.

The ambitious plan seeks to extend Trump-era tax cuts from his first term (2017–2021) and introduces new breaks, including exemptions for tips and for purchases of domestically manufactured vehicles. It also boosts funding for enforcement of the president’s hardline immigration policies.

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates the legislation would add about US$3 trillion to the national debt over the next 10 years. The national debt currently exceeds US$36 trillion.

To offset this increase, the plan includes more than US$1 trillion in cuts to social programs. According to the CBO, federal Medicaid funding would be reduced by nearly US$700 billion, and Medicare would see cuts of approximately US$500 billion. The nonpartisan office also warned that these figures may rise, and it projected a US$267 billion reduction in food stamp assistance.

“U.S. structural deficits are already too high… and these tax cuts overwhelmingly benefit higher-income households,” the six prominent economists said. They also predicted that “the resulting increase in debt and deficits will place considerable upward pressure on inflation and interest rates in the coming years.”

According to the Nobel laureates, the bill as currently written “fails to meaningfully address any of the country’s key economic challenges and, in fact, worsens many of them. The Senate should reject this legislation and start over with the budget.”

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 38 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Colombian President to call popular consultation by decree - Prensa Latina

Article

"I am going to decree the Popular Consultation. The Constitutional Court will undoubtedly decide, it may or may not decide, according to the existing norms", affirmed the head of State.

The President assured that the exercise of citizen participation will be issued via decree because there was never a favorable concept in the Senate of the Republic about the proposal.

Despite the fact that last May 14 the plenary of the Senate voted on the initiative and declared it sunk with 47 votes in favor and 49 against, the president assures that due to the cheating and irregularities that occurred at the time of the vote of the congressmen, it cannot be considered that there is a definitive ruling on the matter.

In Petro's opinion, this entity incurred in a formal defect by not reading his request for a previous concept and the text of the questions presented before the vote of the senators, in accordance with the provisions of the fifth law of the congressional regulations.

After announcing that he will call for the consultation by decree, he wished that the Constitutional Court would help to rebuild the concept of the Social State of Law, the search for equality and human freedom in Colombia.

"Hopefully the Constitutional Court, then, will help us to reestablish not only this principle of the Social Rule of Law, but also the principle of popular sovereignty, as stated in the Constitution, the only owner of power in Colombia is the people. And no one can silence the people", he said.

On the other hand, he asked the people to decide at the ballot box on the relevance or not of a labor reform.

"And if you doubt that the majority is not with the labor reform, let them vote on it and we will see who has the majority. It is up to the president to silence himself in the campaign. Only the No Committee and the Yes Committee will do the campaigning," he exclaimed.

The questionnaire designed for the consultation Petro refers to contains a dozen questions on labor.

The first question asks whether he agrees that day work should last a maximum of eight hours and not be extended beyond 18 hours, while the second question asks whether it is appropriate to pay a 100 percent surcharge for work performed on a day off, Sunday or holiday.

The content of the remaining ones refers to the extension of labor possibilities for the disabled, the granting of preferential credits for micro, small and medium-sized companies and that informal employees be formalized or have access to social security.

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[–] ThomasMuentzer@hexbear.net 37 points 1 month ago (3 children)

first Poster in this thread didnt proclaim his "firstness" , unaccetable

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 37 points 1 month ago

Merz failed to convince Trump of the need for more active assistance to Ukraine, the New York Times writes.

The US President received the German Chancellor at the White House the day before – this was their first face-to-face meeting since the German leader took office.

Germany will remain dependent on the US for a long time – German Chancellor Merz

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 37 points 1 month ago (7 children)

Petro Alleges Far-Right International Plot to Assassinate Him - Telesur English

Article

Colombian President Gustavo Petro accuses far-right groups and criminal networks of plotting to assassinate him and promises to expose those responsible.

Colombian President Gustavo Petro has once again raised alarms about attempts to assassinate him, accusing far-right groups both in Colombia and the United States of orchestrating deadly plots.

Petro’s warnings come amid a tense political climate in Colombia, where the president has faced continuous opposition from powerful drug trafficking networks and extreme right-wing factions since taking office in 2022.

On social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Petro wrote, “Far-right allies have tried to kill me about 17 times during my government. Their posts only express hatred and their wish to see me dead.” These posts, known locally as “trinos,” often convey intense political hostility.

The most recent alarm was raised after authorities found an anti-tank rocket near the presidential palace, Casa de Nariño, in Bogotá. Although officials claimed the weapon was obsolete and had been discarded by a civilian, Petro rejected this explanation. “I don’t know what the anti-tank weapons were meant for, and I don’t trust the police version,” he stated. He also condemned members of the National Police for allegedly hiding the discovery, calling it “perhaps more serious than the weapon itself.”

Petro warned that “several meetings are being held to coordinate attacks” against him. He stressed, “Within the mafia-linked far right, the order has been given. My protection comes from the people.” Additionally, the president announced plans to reveal the identities of those behind these conspiracies.

This is not the first time Petro has spoken out about threats to his life. Since assuming office, he has repeatedly denounced assassination attempts linked to far-right groups and transnational drug trafficking mafias. He accused an international far-right alliance of “Colombian Nazis and North American Nazis” as responsible for ongoing plots against him.

Petro also criticized Guatemala’s Public Ministry after it issued arrest warrants against Colombia’s Attorney General Luz Adriana Camargo and former Defense Minister Iván Velásquez. He described the move as part of a “plot by the Guatemalan far right: Nazi, genocidal, deeply involved in narcotrafficking, with the help of Colombian stateless Nazis.” Both officials face Interpol red notices on charges such as obstruction of justice, although Guatemala has rejected the legal basis of these accusations.

The president recalled that in 2024, the U.S. Embassy in Bogotá warned him of a plot to assassinate him on Colombia’s Independence Day, July 20. Later that year, during the COP16 biodiversity summit in Cali, he avoided detection after two surface-to-air missiles (SAM-16) were smuggled into the country as part of a planned attack.

Petro blames these assassination attempts on a transnational criminal organization he calls the “narcotrafficking board,” allegedly based in Abu Dhabi and composed of mafiosos from multiple countries. According to him, this group controls prosecutors, the National Police, and the port of Buenaventura through Colombia’s Attorney General’s Technical Investigation Corps.

He also accused this group of orchestrating the 2022 murder of Paraguayan prosecutor Marcelo Pecci in Cartagena, asserting that Colombia’s Attorney General’s Office covered up the crime.

Since taking office, Petro has consistently highlighted the volatile political climate in Colombia and the ongoing threats to his life, underscoring the deep challenges the country faces amid its struggle against corruption and organized crime.

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