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Brian Berletic on twitter: America is dispersing Pacific assets in preparation for war with China
https://xcancel.com/BrianJBerletic/status/1946385847206772765
tweet (pics not included)
🇺🇸🇨🇳 US is Not "Retreating" From Asia-Pacific, It's Dispersing Assets, Moving Others Back Before Conflict
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The notion that the US is somehow "retreating" in the Asia-Pacific region is highly flawed - what appears to be a pull out is similar to the US moving assets out of the Middle East just ahead of US strikes on Iran;
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The US knows much of its assets inside the first island chain will be destroyed by Chinese counterattacks, and has spent years developing a military posture utilizing longer ranges and greater dispersement;
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This is meant to make US assets more survivable, not in any way a military posture of withdrawal;
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Wishful thinking regarding US warmongering against China will end the same way it did regarding Russia in 2014-2022 and Iran earlier this year, in a conflict that somehow "surprised" many despite decades of policy papers and preparations made openly and continuously to provoke it;
John Mearsheimer is adamant that war will happen sooner or later. Not sure the best reference to give, I'm sure he's spoken about it many times, but here's a 2020 interview:
Well sort of (thanks for the link too btw)
This is not to say that a war in East Asia is axiomatically going to happen. I'm not arguing that, but it is plausible that the United States and the Chinese and some allies of the United States like Japan may end up in a shooting match with the Chinese in say, the East China Sea.
Now, if China is losing, or if the United States is losing that military engagement, there will be a serious temptation to use nuclear weapons as the United States is committed to use nuclear weapons to defend Japan if Japan is losing a conventional war. And one might say, it's unimaginable that the United States or China would use nuclear weapons.
But I don't think that's true, because you would be using those nuclear weapons at sea. You would not be hitting the Chinese mainland in all likelihood. And, therefore, it's possible to think in terms of a "limited nuclear war," with limited nuclear use
Agreed with this
The Chinese believe that the Americans have their gun sight on China, and nothing is going to change that. I think they are correct.
Imperial suicide and revolutionary crisis
Much like in The Spectator yesterday there was also a piece attacking Zelensky in the FT 2 days ago
Volodymyr Zelenskyy accused of authoritarian slide after anti-corruption raids
Check this out
“Taking advantage of the war, Zelenskyy is making his first, yet confident, steps towards corrupt authoritarianism,” wrote the editorial board of Ukrainian Truth, Ukraine’s most-read online news outlet.
“A crackdown on the country’s most famous anti-corruption crusader can’t be happening without at least the silent approval from President Zelenskyy, if not active permission,” the English-language Kyiv Independent said.
The president’s top political rivals followed suit. Kyiv’s mayor Vitali Klitschko warned that “under the guise of war, the authorities persecute those deemed inconvenient: political opponents, local governments, experts, journalists and activists”.
To my knowledge this didn't start recently but it's nice that the Ukraine overton window moved to where I can send libs shit like this about Z-man
is making his first
do they not know ukraine has already banned all opposition parties
Lula just said that if he's still healthy by then he'll campaign for re-election in 2026 to stop that "band of crazies". He'll be 80 yo next by then
What do we think? Mistake? Should be propping up a successor like with Dilma?
That was my first thought but when you think about how close the 2022 election was, which pitted Lula, unarguably the left's strongest candidate, against Bolsonaro, arguably a weak candidate for the right, I'm sure there are more palatable bolsonaristas the right could run with, it could really be that the PT won't be able to win without Lula.
From portuguese language twitter sometimes I see news about crazy brazillian right wingers that are apparently popular, but not so much about center-left or left-wing figures that could take Lula's place, I only hear about Guilherme Boulos but he's much to the left of Lula (from what I understand) so he likely wouldn't be the PT's candidate
What do we think? Mistake?
He's probably the strongest candidate the Left/Progressives current have, he has a huge popularity and is well known.
That was my first thought but when you think about how close the 2022 election was, which pitted Lula, unarguably the left's strongest candidate, against Bolsonaro, arguably a weak candidate for the right
Jair Bolsonaro is not a weak candidate, he had the support of most of the Brazilian bourgeoisie, Protestants Mega-Churches, the Military and a bunch of Liberals and Conservatives politicians, besides having the votes of all former voters of PSDB (the old right-wing party that ruled Brazil during the 1990s). He did everything possible to win that Election, from arresting Lula's supporters to actually paying people to vote for him, and yet he still failed. What happened in Brazil was almost a miracle, because the media spend the entire 2010s - 2022 trying to destroy PT and Lula's image and somehow he still won.
From portuguese language twitter sometimes I see news about crazy brazillian right wingers that are apparently popular, but not so much about center-left or left-wing figures that could take Lula's place, I only hear about Guilherme Boulos but he's much to the left of Lula (from what I understand) so he likely wouldn't be the PT's candidate
Boulos is a good left-wing social democrat to democratic socialist candidate, he's basicallly a bit more moderated 1980s - 1990s Lula. Another candidate is João Henrique Campos, he is the son of Eduardo Campos who died in a very sus airplane accident. João is also the great-grandson of former Brazilian Democratic Socialist leader Miguel Arraes, who attempted to resist the 1964 coup but was exiled. I read that he's quite popular in Northeast but that his internal policies are of a right-wing social democrat/liberal.
it could really be that the PT won't be able to win without Lula.
Yeah. But I would also like to add that part of this is PT/Lula's own fault as many people here have said, but also, the media and right-wing politicians spend decades destroying the image of the party and of many possible sucessors of Lula.
I think he needs to pick a successor. Same with Evo and Maduro. Run sure I guess but there needs to be some continuation plan.
if he's legitimately the best candidate at the moment that's his fuckup for not creating an ideological successor.
you have to develop the next generation and if you don't you're trying to fail. see: US democrats.
that's his fuckup
it's a bit of the whole party's fuckup and a bit of there simply being no available individuals, especially after marcelo déda's death and the coup
the last 20 years have been shit for the left (in part because of the PT, ironically), the only guy who resembles early 00's lula is boulos and he's not in the party
yeah. he's in charge so it's his fault, but there are 20+ other people who are complicit in the failure and maybe could've mitigated it depending on how the organization works. (and if the org structurally prevents leadership development it's on the people who made and kept it that way)
Does this mean things are going well? Bolsonaro’s other son — this one a sitting senator, not the congressman conspiring against his country in the US — suggested Trump back off the 50% threat and instead target individual Brazilians for sanction. He has since deleted the tweet
The US leader Donald Trump has ordered the cancellation of the visas of Alexandre de Moraes (the Supreme Court Justice Bolsonaro attempted to kill), his family members and his “allies on the court”. It is not yet known whether by “allies” he means other Justices. Trump, through its Secretary of State Marco Rubio, states that “his administration will hold foreign nationals responsible for censoring protected expression in the United States accountable.”
Rubio: "@POTUS made clear that his administration will hold accountable foreign nationals who are responsible for censorship of protected expression in the United States. Brazilian Supreme Federal Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes's political witch hunt against Jair Bolsonaro created a persecution and censorship complex so sweeping that it not only violates basic rights of Brazilians, but also extends beyond Brazil's shores to target Americans. I have therefore ordered visa revocations for Moraes and his allies on the court, as well as their immediate family members effective immediately."
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Telegram
foreign nationals responsible for censoring protected expression in the United States accountable
Word salad
Meanwhile I can’t even bring my collection of rare JD Vances with me on vacation
The Spectator: Ukrainians have lost faith in Zelensky
Check out this CRAZY bit
Ukraine’s social media is filled with daily videos of men being bundled into vans by recruitment officers. In the first six months of this year, Ukraine’s Prosecutor’s Office reported that it had opened 107,672 new criminal cases for desertion. Since 2022 some 230,804 such criminal cases have been instigated, suggesting that more soldiers have deserted the Ukrainian army than there are fighting men in today’s British, French and German armies combined
How long can this go on?
If the war continues soon there will be no Ukraine left to fight for,’ one former senior official in Zelensky’s administration tells me. They now believe their former boss is ‘prolonging the war to hold on to power’.
They're just printing people talking about Z man like he's Bibi? Maybe he actually is cooked?
Trump's announcement to send Patriots to Ukraine seems to cause confusion:
Trump's mysterious arms "deal" (Süddeutsche Zeitung, in German)
When Trump finally announced that Patriot systems were already on their way to Ukraine, this was immediately denied. According to German government circles: “Nothing is in the bag yet.”
But it is still completely unclear when and from whom Ukraine can receive additional Patriot batteries, unless the USA itself is prepared to hand over its own systems.
It's not even clear how useful these Patriots are. They're not cost effective when shooting down Geran drones, and they can't reliably shoot down Russia's most advanced missiles. I guess they can shoot down something in between, but surely that's not going to make a difference.
If anything, it's just burning through the existing weapons to justify giving money to make new ones. That seems to be the biggest accomplishment of the last several years of NATO engagements, burning through everything that they had and banging the war drums to drum up another round of capital injections paid for by increasing austerity in NATO nations. It seems increasingly likely that we will reach a point in the next decade where NATO is doing their last ploy for power and realizes that someone stripped the copper out the walls of the MIC and never actually replaced those weapons they burned up to pay for golden parachutes at Northrop and Lockheed.
Russian forces liberated another ten settlements this week (seven in the Donetsk People's Republic, two in Zaporozhye oblast, and one in Kharkov oblast): https://sputnikglobe.com/20250718/russias-weekly-military-gains-precision-strikes-and-ten-liberated-settlements-1122455709.html
Some combat footage of one of these settlements (Voskresenka, in the DPR) being liberated: https://s5.cdnstatic.space/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/voskresenka.mp4?_=4
Apparently Hersh thinks Zelensky is cooked.
https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/the-end-for-zelensky Is anyone still subscribed and can get the full article?
There are many in Washington and in Ukraine who believe that the escalating air war with Russia must end soon, while there’s still a chance to make a settlement with its president, Vladimir Putin.
Or what? Serious question—short of nuclear war, what does the US have to lose by continuing this? Why not fight Russia to the last Ukrainian?
A complete collapse of the Ukrainian state means all western investments are lost. They would be better off at a certain point calling a truce and creating a rump state where their purchases are still valid. The west is fine pushing Ukraine to the brink, but to actually go over the edge of the brink into the abyss is good for nobody
Could it be that fail-kids are in charge who don't understand this and care only about saving the "face" of western power, thus to them investments are not even considered so much as preventing a Suez crisis type collapse of the US image? Or it may be that they simply see this as a way to discipline financial capital or certain parts of it into more buy-in, into taking a big loss and using that to get them onboard with actually fixing production issues because it's finally hitting their speculative pocket books and to finally "wake them up".
In other words I think for planners of empire, at least some of them it may indeed be good to go over the edge and fight to the last Ukrainian. Russia isn't going to want to occupy western Ukraine and the west could always after beating on Russia for another year and gaining valuable field data on their weapons finally offer Russia something resembling a comprehensive security pact where Ukraine is excluded from NATO, Ukraine is de-nazified, Ukraine is kept disarmed. And the disarmed, humiliated, depopulated Ukraine is used for farmland and cheap labor under a western run but Russian friendly regime. After all the US hasn't fully finished de-industrializing and destroying the EU and Germany in particular. Keeping the war and thus EU-owning sanctions on for another 12 months could do a lot to really keep the EU from any chance of recovery and ability to compete with US power.
So I just don't know.
Felix Baumgartner has died
Love how they don't mention with a word that he was a Nazi
I did not know that, in that case what happened to the hotel worker is a tragedy
Shit he has said or posted:
cw nazi shit
Literally nazi shit
How far are we willing to give up our identity and our culture and mix it with a completely different religion and ideology? What will happen to our WOMEN'S RIGHTS if we have to share this country with a culture where women have NO rights? History has already shown more than once that any attempt to do it anyway has NO future!
Orban simping
In a statement, Baumgartner indirectly proposed Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán for the Nobel Peace Prize. The politician became known in the fall of 2015 for his rigorous refugee policy and the idea of border protection. Baumgartner comments:
"Because he did the only right thing. To PROTECT his COUNTRY and the PEOPLE who elected him!"
Vaccine shit
You must be a real jerk if you've been vaccinated five times (!), keep getting corona and then defend the vaccination. Bravo Florian Klenk FELIX #corona #vaccination #impfpflicht #florianklenk #pharmaHure #falter."
Martin Sellner simping (a literal austrian nazi, husband to Brittany Pettibone, a us nazi)
Felix Baumgartner called Sellner an eloquent and polite guest with strong arguments. He also praised ServusTV—owned by Red Bull—for being the first European channel to feature a member of the nazi Identitarian movement in prime time.
IIRC, it doesn't just ban "Communist propaganda", but even things like "class-based hatred", so it is even crazier than it sounds. As if equating Communism with the Nazis wasn't crazy enough.
but even things like "class-based hatred"
This is, like, recognizing that social classes exist but making it so that the lower classes can't speak about their hated of the upper class
Finally People of Means are getting the respect they deserve
I love being exploited by the bourgeoisie. Its an absolute pleasure, and I would cry if harm befell a single c suite executive
China-Serbia Peace Guardian 2025 Joint Training to be held this month
BEIJING, June 14 -- Army special operations troops of China and Serbia will carry out Peace Guardian 2025 joint training in North China's Hebei Province in the second half of July, said Senior Colonel Jiang Bin, spokesperson for China's Ministry of National Defense, at a press briefing on Monday.
"This will be the first joint training between Chinese and Serbian militaries. It will help strengthen combat capabilities of participating troops and deepen cooperation between the two militaries," he stated.