this post was submitted on 23 Sep 2024
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Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.


The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.

Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.

I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 40 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Trump said he will meet with Zelensky on Friday in New York - BBC

Trump and Zelensky to meet amid Republican anger

Article

Donald Trump has said he will meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in New York on Friday. The Republican presidential nominee told a news conference that the pair will meet around 09:45 ET (14:45 BST) at his Trump Tower property.

The meeting is set to go ahead despite earlier reports it had been cancelled amid growing anger from senior Republicans after Zelensky earlier visited the key swing US state of Pennsylvania.

On Thursday, Zelensky met US President Joe Biden and Vice-President Kamala Harris at the White House to discuss his "victory plan", which he hopes will pressure Russia into agreeing a diplomatic end to the war.

"President Zelensky has asked to meet with me, and I will be meeting with him tomorrow morning," Trump told reporters in New York. "And it's a shame what's happening in Ukraine. So many deaths, so much destruction. It's a horrible thing."

Trump said he believed he would be able to "make a deal" between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Zelensky "quite quickly". When pushed to provide details of such a deal, he replied: "I don't want to tell you what that looks like".

The former US president was speaking after Zelensky had earlier met Biden and Harris. Hours before, Biden had announced a further $7.9bn (£5.9bn) package of military assistance to Ukraine.

Speaking alongside the Ukrainian president after their meeting, Harris said there are "some in my country" that would "force Ukraine to give up large parts of its sovereign territory".

"These proposals are the same of those of Putin," she said, calling them "proposals for surrender". Asked at the news conference by a reporter whether Ukraine should cede land to Russia to end the war, Trump did not answer directly.

"Let's get some peace," he said. "We need peace. We need to stop the death and destruction." Friday's meeting comes amid tension between Zelensky and the Republican party ahead of November's US presidential election.

Some Republicans were angered by Zelensky's visit to an arms factory in Biden's hometown of Scranton, Pennsylvania, with top Democrats this week, including its governor Josh Shapiro.

Zelensky's visit to the key swing state was labelled by leading Republicans as a partisan campaign event. In a public letter, speaker of the US House Mike Johnson said the visit was "designed to help Democrats" and claimed it amounted to "election interference".

Trump and Zelensky have a complicated relationship. In 2019, Trump was impeached by the US House over accusations that he pressured Ukraine's leader to dig up damaging information on a political rival. A rough transcript of the call revealed Trump had urged Zelensky to investigate Biden, as well as Biden's son.

Trump has also grown increasingly critical of continued US funding for Ukraine, and in recent days has sharpened his attacks against Zelensky, calling him the “greatest salesman on Earth”.

Zelensky recently told the New Yorker magazine that he believe Trump "doesn't really know how to stop the war". When asked about Zelensky's comments on Thursday, Trump replied: "I do believe I disagree with him. He doesn't know me."

[–] EnsignRedshirt@hexbear.net 40 points 9 months ago (2 children)

"Let's get some peace," he said. "We need peace. We need to stop the death and destruction."

Trump has also grown increasingly critical of continued US funding for Ukraine, and in recent days has sharpened his attacks against Zelensky, calling him the “greatest salesman on Earth”.

You know what? I say we let him cook.

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[–] bbnh69420@hexbear.net 40 points 9 months ago (12 children)

“Get ready to learn drone piloting, buddy”

Commercial drones can’t do much more than the grenade drops, correct? What crucial information about this tech have we learned from the last 2 years? Please help I’m preparing for ww3

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[–] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago (3 children)

Now would be the time for that retaliation Iran, what are you waiting for

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[–] meth_dragon@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago (7 children)

qe with chinese characteristics incoming, though it doesn't seem as big as the libs would have liked it

prebubble mortgage rates getting lowered to match current ones

will be interesting to see where the money goes this time

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[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago (4 children)

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2024/09/indian-foreign-minister-throws-cold-water-on-the-idea-of-a-brics-currency.html

Article on Indian reluctance and challenge associated with a BRICS currency, citing comments by the Indian foreign affairs minister Dr Subrahmanyam Jaishankar

“People have raised the issue that should there be a Brics currency. But, for countries to have a common currency, you need enormous alignment of their very fundamental fiscal policies, monetary policies, economic policies… And when you look at Brics’s standards, I think we’ve to be realistic about the extent of alignment among members.”

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago

Allegedly a group of Ansarallah get hit by Saudi army tank when attempting to cross the border [cw/death]

https://tankie.tube/w/wkjBfsjsqbM9gPRsfPYKRr

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago

Update on Elon Musk Vs. Brazil:

Supreme Court Judge Moraes ordered X to pay R$10 million so that it can start operating again. The amount refers to the “dribbles” of the blockade made by the platform.

Xandão (Moraes nickname) also set a fine of R$300,000 for lawyer Raquel de Oliveira Villa Nova Conceição for failing to comply with demands in August. In the decision, Moraes recognizes that X blocked the profiles mentioned and provided data about them, as determined.

The minister verified the data of the companies and X's representative with information from the Central Bank and the Federal Revenue Service.

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago

More like sri-mlanka, am I right? meow-tankie

Hope they are competent

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 38 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (6 children)

https://www.ft.com/content/6638813e-e246-4409-9a38-95bf60a220a8

seems like opsec issues, tfw no open source phone

Israel’s broadened focus on Hizbollah in the region was accompanied by a growing, and eventually insurmountable technical advantage — spy satellites, sophisticated drones and cyber-hacking capabilities that turn mobile phones into listening devices.

It collects so much data that it has a dedicated group, Unit 9900, which writes algorithms that sift through terabytes of visual images to find the slightest changes, hoping to identify an improvised explosive device by a roadside, a vent over a tunnel or the sudden addition of a concrete reinforcement, hinting at a bunker.

Once a Hizbollah operative is identified, his daily patterns of movements are fed into a vast database of information, siphoned off from devices that could include his wife’s cell phone, his smart car’s odometer, or his location. These can be identified from sources as disparate as a drone flying overhead, from a hacked CCTV camera feed that he happens to pass by and even from his voice captured on the microphone of a modern TV’s remote control, according to several Israeli officials.

Any break from that routine becomes an alert for an intelligence officer to sift through, a technique that allowed Israel to identify the mid-level commanders of the anti-tank squads of two or three fighters that have harassed IDF troops from across the border. At one point, Israel monitored the schedules of individual commanders to see if they had suddenly been recalled in anticipation of an attack, one of the officials said.

But each one of these processes required time and patience to develop. Over years, Israeli intelligence was able to populate such a vast target bank that in the first three days of its air campaign, its warplanes tried to take out at least 3,000 suspected Hizbollah targets, according to the IDF’s public statements.

“Israel had a lot of capabilities, a lot of intelligence stored waiting to be used,” said a former official. “We could have used these capabilities way longer ago during this war, but we didn’t.”

That patience appears to have paid off for the military. For more than 10 months, Israel and Hizbollah traded cross-border fire, while Israel killed a few hundred of Hizbollah’s low-level operatives, the vast majority of them within a slowly expanding theatre of the conflict, stretching a few kilometres north of the border.

That appears to have lulled Nasrallah into thinking that the two arch-rivals were involved in a new sort of brinkmanship, with well-defined red lines that could be managed until Israel agreed a ceasefire in Gaza with Hamas, allowing Hizbollah an “off-ramp” that would allow it to agree a ceasefire with Israel.

The group had only started this round of fire with Israel on October 8, in solidarity with Iran-backed Hamas, in an attempt to keep at least some Israeli firepower pinned down on its northern border.

“Hizbollah felt obliged to take part in the fight, but at the same time limited itself severely — there was never really any intention of them taking an initiative where they might have some advantage,” said Sayigh of the Carnegie Middle East Center.

“They seem to have thrown off a few rockets here and there, and taken a few hits in return, and getting lulled into a notion that this was the limit of it — they kept one, if not both, hands tied behind their back and did nothing approaching their own full capability.”

in recent months, if not years, Israeli intelligence had nearly perfected a technique that allowed it to, at least intermittently, locate Nasrallah, who had been suspected of mostly been living underground in a warren of tunnels and bunkers.

In the days after October 7, Israeli warplanes took off with instructions to bomb a location where Nasrallah had been located by Israel’s intelligence directorate Aman. The raid was called off after the White House demanded Netanyahu do so, according to one of the Israeli officials.

On Friday, Israeli intelligence appears to have pinpointed his location again — heading into what the IDF called “a command and control” bunker, apparently to a meeting that included several senior Hizbollah leaders and a senior Iranian commander of Revolutionary Guards operations.

In New York, Netanyahu was informed on the sidelines of his address at the UN General Assembly, where he rejected the notion of a ceasefire with Hizbollah and vowed to press on with Israel’s offensive. A person familiar with the events said that Netanyahu knew of the operation to kill Nasrallah before he delivered his speech.

Israel’s campaign is not over, says Netanyahu. It is still possible that Israel will send ground troops into southern Lebanon to help clear a buffer zone north of its border. Much of Hizbollah’s missile capability remains intact.

[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 39 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

Some of it's probably true, but this just reads as the IDF trying to portray a sense of technological omnipotence that is easily countered by simply looking at how the conflict has progressed, which is pointedly not in Israel's favour.

Over years, Israeli intelligence was able to populate such a vast target bank that in the first three days of its air campaign, its warplanes tried to take out at least 3,000 suspected Hizbollah targets, according to the IDF’s public statements.

“Israel had a lot of capabilities, a lot of intelligence stored waiting to be used,” said a former official. “We could have used these capabilities way longer ago during this war, but we didn’t.”

That's so weird! They just didn't use their advanced capabilities for some reason! While Hezbollah was taking out border infrastructure and depopulating northern Israel, the people in charge just weren't listening to the guy who told them that they had a super-smart AI system that could read the minds of everybody in Hezbollah! We actually knew where Nasrallah was this entire time, we just didn't want to kill him until now, because the pesky United States (who is giving us the bombs to attack Hezbollah) didn't want to use our intelligence to... attack Hezbollah?

Nasrallah has been a thorn in the side of Israel for decades. They already tried to assassinate him once, in 2006. It was under him that Hezbollah became the titan that it is now. It is inconceivable that Israel hasn't wanted to kill him, and would have done it at any point, including in the days after October 7th as the article states, if it actually had the means to track him.

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